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Stock Pick Updates

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Top 5 Long Stock Picks
Top 5 Short Stock Picks


All 10 carefully selected each week by Paul Rejczak based on two separate techniques for improved diversification. One technique focuses on choosing the best of the most promising sectors, and the other aims to find the stocks that showed most resilience despite being a part of a lagging sector. Both approaches are applied to many sectors and then all stock candidates are reviewed manually, before making it (or not) to our weekly list.

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  • Stock Pick Update: August 19 - August 25, 2020

    August 19, 2020, 7:16 AM

    The broad stock market has further extended its medium-term uptrend in the last five trading days (August 12 - August 18). The S&P 500 index has set new record high of 3,395.06 on Tuesday, as it got slightly above February 19 high of 3,393.52. More than four months ago on March 23, the market sold off to new medium-term low of 2,191.86. It was a stunning 35.4% below February 19 record high of 3,393.52. The corona virus and economic slowdown fears erased more than a third of the broad stock market value. Since then stocks rallied 54.9%.

    The S&P 500 index has gained 1.02% between August 12 and August 18. In the same period of time our five long and five short stock picks have lost 2.83%. So stock picks were relatively weaker than the broad stock market. Our long stock picks have lost 2.88% and short stock picks have resulted in a loss of 2.78%.

    There are risks that couldn't be avoided in trading. Hence the need for proper money management and a relatively diversified stock portfolio. This is especially important if trading on a time basis - without using stop-loss/ profit target levels. We are just buying or selling stocks at open on Wednesday and selling or buying them back at close on the next Tuesday.

    If stocks were in a prolonged downtrend, being able to profit anyway, would be extremely valuable. Of course, it's not the point of our Stock Pick Updates to forecast where the general stock market is likely to move, but rather to provide you with stocks that are likely to generate profits regardless of what the S&P does.

    This means that our overall stock-picking performance can be summarized on the chart below. The assumptions are: starting with $100k, no leverage used. The data before Dec 24, 2019 comes from our internal tests and data after that can be verified by individual Stock Pick Updates posted on our website.

    Below we include statistics and the details of our three recent updates:

    • August 18, 2020
      Long Picks (August 12 open - August 18 close % change): BA (-7.49%), SCHW (-1.55%), CXO (-4.91%), BXP (-5.58%), MSI (+5.14%)
      Short Picks (August 12 open - August 18 close % change): CCI (+1.85%), AAPL (+4.58%), CHTR (+3.33%), ROP (+0.48%), SPGI (+3.65%)

      Average long result: -2.88%, average short result: -2.78%
      Total profit (average): -2.83%
    • August 11, 2020
      Long Picks (August 5 open - August 11 close % change): V (+2.18%), WBA (+2.45%), ECL (+3.13%), XOM (+1.86%), PSA (-1.38%)
      Short Picks (August 5 open - August 11 close % change): COP (+3.14%), CCI (-2.75%), SPGI (-0.95%), PYPL (-5.01%), K (-2.35%)

      Average long result: +1.65%, average short result: +1.59%
      Total profit (average): +1.62%
    • August 4, 2020
      Long Picks (July 29 open - August 4 close % change): IFF (-2.27%), WBA (+0.24%), ED (-0.50%), XOM (-0.55%), WU (+7.13%)
      Short Picks (July 29 open - August 4 close % change): HES (+1.34%), XLNX (+2.30%), SPGI (-0.71%), APD (-3.33%), KO (-3.01%)

      Average long result: +0.81%, average short result: +0.68%
      Total profit (average): +0.75%

    Let's check which stocks could magnify S&P's gains in case it rallies, and which stocks would be likely to decline the most if S&P plunges. Here are our stock picks for the Wednesday, August 19 - Tuesday, August 25 period.

    We will assume the following: the stocks will be bought or sold short on the opening of today's trading session (August 19) and sold or bought back on the closing of the next Tuesday's trading session (August 25).

    We will provide stock trading ideas based on our in-depth technical and fundamental analysis, but since the main point of this publication is to provide the top 5 long and top 5 short candidates (our opinion, not an investment advice) for this week, we will focus solely on the technicals. The latter are simply more useful in case of short-term trades.

    First, we will take a look at the recent performance by sector. It may show us which sector is likely to perform best in the near future and which sector is likely to lag. Then, we will select our buy and sell stock picks.

    There are eleven stock market sectors: Energy, Materials, Industrials, Consumer Discretionary, Consumer Staples, Health Care, Financials, Technology, Communications Services, Utilities and Real Estate. They are further divided into industries, but we will just stick with these main sectors of the stock market.

    We will analyze them and their relative performance by looking at the Select Sector SPDR ETF's.

    The stock market sector analysis is available to our subscribers only.

    Based on the above, we decided to choose our stock picks for the next week. We will choose our top 3 long and top 3 short candidates using trend-following approach, and top 2 long and top 2 short candidates using contrarian approach:

    Trend-following approach:

    • buys: 1 x Consumer Discretionary, 1 x Technology, 1 x Industrials
    • sells: 1 x Energy, 1 x Financials, 1 x Utilities

    Contrarian approach (betting against the recent trend):

    • buys: 1 x Energy, 1 x Financials
    • sells: 1 x Consumer Discretionary, 1 x Technology

    Trend-following approach

    Top 3 Buy Candidates

    VFC VFCorp - Consumer Discretionary

    • Possible uptrend continuation after breaking above $62 in the first half of the month
    • The next resistance level of $66
    • Stock continues to trade above medium-term upward trend line

    IBM International Business Machines - Technology

    • Stock remains above two-month-long upward trend line
    • Possible uptrend continuation
    • The resistance level of $130 (short-term upside profit target)
    • The support level is at $120

    CAT Caterpillar, Inc. - Industrials

    • Stock remains above its medium-term upward trend line
    • The resistance level and upside profit target level is at $145

    Summing up, the above trend-following long stock picks are just a part of our whole Stock Pick Update. The Consumer Discretionary, Technology and Industrials sectors were relatively the strongest in the last 30 days. So that part of our ten long and short stock picks is meant to outperform in the coming days if the broad stock market acts similarly as it did before.

    We hope you enjoyed reading the above free analysis, and we encourage you to read today's Stock Pick Update - this analysis' full version. There, we include the stock market sector analysis for the past month and remaining long and short stock picks for the next week. There's no risk in subscribing right away, because there's a 30-day money back guarantee for all our products, so we encourage you to subscribe today.

    Thank you.

    Paul Rejczak
    Stock Trading Strategist
    Sunshine Profits - Effective Investments through Diligence and Care

  • Stock Pick Update: August 12 - August 18, 2020

    August 12, 2020, 7:49 AM

    The broad stock market has extended its medium-term uptrend in the last five trading days (August 5 - August 11). The S&P 500 index got closer to its February 19 record high of 3,393.52 on Tuesday, August 11 as the daily high reached 3,381.01. But the index reversed lower and closed 0.8% below Monday's closing price yesterday.

    More than four months ago on March 23, the market sold off to new medium-term low of 2,191.86. It was a stunning 35.4% below February 19 record high of 3,393.52. The corona virus and economic slowdown fears erased more than a third of the broad stock market value. Since then stocks rallied 54.3%.

    The S&P 500 index has gained just 0.49% between August 5 and August 11. In the same period of time our five long and five short stock picks have gained 1.62%. So stock picks were relatively stronger than the broad stock market. Our long stock picks have gained 1.65% and short stock picks have resulted in a gain of 1.59%.

    There are risks that couldn't be avoided in trading. Hence the need for proper money management and a relatively diversified stock portfolio. This is especially important if trading on a time basis - without using stop-loss/ profit target levels. We are just buying or selling stocks at open on Wednesday and selling or buying them back at close on the next Tuesday.

    If stocks were in a prolonged downtrend, being able to profit anyway, would be extremely valuable. Of course, it's not the point of our Stock Pick Updates to forecast where the general stock market is likely to move, but rather to provide you with stocks that are likely to generate profits regardless of what the S&P does.

    This means that our overall stock-picking performance can be summarized on the chart below. The assumptions are: starting with $100k, no leverage used. The data before Dec 24, 2019 comes from our internal tests and data after that can be verified by individual Stock Pick Updates posted on our website.

    Below we include statistics and the details of our three recent updates:

    • August 11, 2020
      Long Picks (August 5 open - August 11 close % change): V (+2.18%), WBA (+2.45%), ECL (+3.13%), XOM (+1.86%), PSA (-1.38%)
      Short Picks (August 5 open - August 11 close % change): COP (+3.14%), CCI (-2.75%), SPGI (-0.95%), PYPL (-5.01%), K (-2.35%)

      Average long result: +1.65%, average short result: +1.59%
      Total profit (average): +1.62%
    • August 4, 2020
      Long Picks (July 29 open - August 4 close % change): IFF (-2.27%), WBA (+0.24%), ED (-0.50%), XOM (-0.55%), WU (+7.13%)
      Short Picks (July 29 open - August 4 close % change): HES (+1.34%), XLNX (+2.30%), SPGI (-0.71%), APD (-3.33%), KO (-3.01%)

      Average long result: +0.81%, average short result: +0.68%
      Total profit (average): +0.75%
    • July 28, 2020
      Long Picks (July 22 open - July 28 close % change): MLM (-5.87%), MCD (+1.57%), INTC (-19.84%), XOM (-1.36%), IRM (+2.58%)
      Short Picks (July 22 open - July 28 close % change): COG (-0.38%), WY (+6.86%), SPGI (-1.77%), APD (-0.40%), HD (+1.02%)

      Average long result: -4.59%, average short result: -1.07%
      Total profit (average): -2.83%

    Let's check which stocks could magnify S&P's gains in case it rallies, and which stocks would be likely to decline the most if S&P plunges. Here are our stock picks for the Wednesday, August 12 - Tuesday, August 18 period.

    We will assume the following: the stocks will be bought or sold short on the opening of today's trading session (August 12) and sold or bought back on the closing of the next Tuesday's trading session (August 18).

    We will provide stock trading ideas based on our in-depth technical and fundamental analysis, but since the main point of this publication is to provide the top 5 long and top 5 short candidates (our opinion, not an investment advice) for this week, we will focus solely on the technicals. The latter are simply more useful in case of short-term trades.

    First, we will take a look at the recent performance by sector. It may show us which sector is likely to perform best in the near future and which sector is likely to lag. Then, we will select our buy and sell stock picks.

    There are eleven stock market sectors: Energy, Materials, Industrials, Consumer Discretionary, Consumer Staples, Health Care, Financials, Technology, Communications Services, Utilities and Real Estate. They are further divided into industries, but we will just stick with these main sectors of the stock market.

    We will analyze them and their relative performance by looking at the Select Sector SPDR ETF's.

    The stock market sector analysis is available to our subscribers only.

    Based on the above, we decided to choose our stock picks for the next week. We will choose our top 3 long and top 3 short candidates using trend-following approach, and top 2 long and top 2 short candidates using contrarian approach:

    Trend-following approach:

    • buys: 1 x Industrials, 1 x Financials, 1 x Energy
    • sells: 1 x Real Estate, 1 x Technology, 1 x Communication Services

    Contrarian approach (betting against the recent trend):

    • buys: 1 x Real Estate, 1 x Technology
    • sells: 1 x Industrials, 1 x Financials

    Trend-following approach

    Top 3 Buy Candidates

    BA Boeing Co. - Industrials

    SCHW Charles Schwab Corp. - Financials

    • Potential short-term uptrend continuation after breaking above downward trend line
    • The resistance level of $36-38 (short-term upside profit target)
    • The support level is at $33

    CXO Concho Resources Inc. - Energy

    • Stock remains above the previously broken downward trend line
    • The resistance level and an initial upside profit target level is at $60

    Summing up, the above trend-following long stock picks are just a part of our whole Stock Pick Update. The Industrials, Financials and Energy sectors were relatively the strongest in the last 30 days. So that part of our ten long and short stock picks is meant to outperform in the coming days if the broad stock market acts similarly as it did before.

    We hope you enjoyed reading the above free analysis, and we encourage you to read today's Stock Pick Update - this analysis' full version. There, we include the stock market sector analysis for the past month and remaining long and short stock picks for the next week. There's no risk in subscribing right away, because there's a 30-day money back guarantee for all our products, so we encourage you to subscribe today.

    Thank you.

    Paul Rejczak
    Stock Trading Strategist
    Sunshine Profits - Effective Investments through Diligence and Care

  • Stock Pick Update: August 5 - August 11, 2020

    August 5, 2020, 8:41 AM

    Header: Which stocks could magnify S&P 500's gains in case it rallies? Take a look at a part of our Stock Pick Update. We have included Technology, Consumer Staples and Materials stocks this time.

    The broad stock market has extended its medium-term uptrend in the last five trading days (July 29 - August 4). The S&P 500 index broke above its late July local highs along 3,280 level and it crossed the 3,300 mark. More than four months ago on March 23, the market sold off to new medium-term low of 2,191.86. It was a stunning 35.4% below February 19 record high of 3,393.52. The corona virus and economic slowdown fears erased more than a third of the broad stock market value. But the index has rallied back closer to record high again. It is currently just 2.6% below the mentioned February's record high.

    The S&P 500 index has gained 2.46% between July 29 and August 4. In the same period of time our five long and five short stock picks have gained 0.75%. So stock picks were relatively weaker than the broad stock market. Our long stock picks have gained 0.81% and short stock picks have resulted in a gain of 0.68%.

    There are risks that couldn't be avoided in trading. Hence the need for proper money management and a relatively diversified stock portfolio. This is especially important if trading on a time basis - without using stop-loss/ profit target levels. We are just buying or selling stocks at open on Wednesday and selling or buying them back at close on the next Tuesday.

    If stocks were in a prolonged downtrend, being able to profit anyway, would be extremely valuable. Of course, it's not the point of our Stock Pick Updates to forecast where the general stock market is likely to move, but rather to provide you with stocks that are likely to generate profits regardless of what the S&P does.

    This means that our overall stock-picking performance can be summarized on the chart below. The assumptions are: starting with $100k, no leverage used. The data before Dec 24, 2019 comes from our internal tests and data after that can be verified by individual Stock Pick Updates posted on our website.

    Below we include statistics and the details of our three recent updates:

    • August 4, 2020
      Long Picks (July 29 open - August 4 close % change): IFF (-2.27%), WBA (+0.24%), ED (-0.50%), XOM (-0.55%), WU (+7.13%)
      Short Picks (July 29 open - August 4 close % change): HES (+1.34%), XLNX (+2.30%), SPGI (-0.71%), APD (-3.33%), KO (-3.01%)

      Average long result: +0.81%, average short result: +0.68%
      Total profit (average): +0.75%
    • July 28, 2020
      Long Picks (July 22 open - July 28 close % change): MLM (-5.87%), MCD (+1.57%), INTC (-19.84%), XOM (-1.36%), IRM (+2.58%)
      Short Picks (July 22 open - July 28 close % change): COG (-0.38%), WY (+6.86%), SPGI (-1.77%), APD (-0.40%), HD (+1.02%)

      Average long result: -4.59%, average short result: -1.07%
      Total profit (average): -2.83%
    • July 21, 2020
      Long Picks (July 15 open - July 21 close % change): DOW (-1.40%), INTC (+2.83%), MCD (-0.47%), XOM (-0.84%), HST (-1.54%)
      Short Picks (July 15 open - July 21 close % change): COG (+4.57%), VNO (-5.52%), AON (+2.30%), LIN (+1.36%), AAPL (-2.01%)

      Average long result: -0.28%, average short result: -0.14%
      Total profit (average): -0.21%

    Let's check which stocks could magnify S&P's gains in case it rallies, and which stocks would be likely to decline the most if S&P plunges. Here are our stock picks for the Wednesday, August 5 - Tuesday, August 11 period.

    We will assume the following: the stocks will be bought or sold short on the opening of today's trading session (August 5) and sold or bought back on the closing of the next Tuesday's trading session (August 11).

    We will provide stock trading ideas based on our in-depth technical and fundamental analysis, but since the main point of this publication is to provide the top 5 long and top 5 short candidates (our opinion, not an investment advice) for this week, we will focus solely on the technicals. The latter are simply more useful in case of short-term trades.

    First, we will take a look at the recent performance by sector. It may show us which sector is likely to perform best in the near future and which sector is likely to lag. Then, we will select our buy and sell stock picks.

    There are eleven stock market sectors: Energy, Materials, Industrials, Consumer Discretionary, Consumer Staples, Health Care, Financials, Technology, Communications Services, Utilities and Real Estate. They are further divided into industries, but we will just stick with these main sectors of the stock market.

    We will analyze them and their relative performance by looking at the Select Sector SPDR ETF's.

    The stock market sector analysis is available to our subscribers only.

    Based on the above, we decided to choose our stock picks for the next week. We will choose our top 3 long and top 3 short candidates using trend-following approach, and top 2 long and top 2 short candidates using contrarian approach:

    Trend-following approach:

    • buys: 1 x Technology, 1 x Consumer Staples, 1 x Materials
    • sells: 1 x Energy, 1 x Real Estate, 1 x Financials

    Contrarian approach (betting against the recent trend):

    • buys: 1 x Energy, 1 x Real Estate
    • sells: 1 x Technology, 1 x Consumer Staples

    Trend-following approach

    Top 3 Buy Candidates

    V Visa Inc. - Technology

    WBA Walgreens Boots Alliance, Inc. - Consumer Staples

    • Potential short-term uptrend continuation pattern - bull flag
    • The resistance level of $44 (short-term upside profit target)
    • The support level remains at $38-39

    ECL Ecolab, Inc. - Materials

    • Stock remains above the support level of $185
    • Potential medium-term bull flag pattern
    • The resistance level and upside profit target level at $205-215

    Summing up, the above trend-following long stock picks are just a part of our whole Stock Pick Update. The Technology, Consumer Staples and Materials sectors were relatively the strongest in the last 30 days. So that part of our ten long and short stock picks is meant to outperform in the coming days if the broad stock market acts similarly as it did before.

    We hope you enjoyed reading the above free analysis, and we encourage you to read today's Stock Pick Update - this analysis' full version. There, we include the stock market sector analysis for the past month and remaining long and short stock picks for the next week. There's no risk in subscribing right away, because there's a 30-day money back guarantee for all our products, so we encourage you to subscribe today.

    Thank you.

    Paul Rejczak
    Stock Trading Strategist
    Sunshine Profits - Effective Investments through Diligence and Care

  • Stock Pick Update: July 29 - August 4, 2020

    July 29, 2020, 9:05 AM

    The broad stock market remained within a short-term consolidation in the last five trading days (July 22 - July 28). The S&P 500 index has retraced some of its recent advance after getting closer to 3,300 mark. More than four months ago on March 23, the market sold off to new medium-term low of 2,191.86. It was a stunning 35.4% below February 19 record high of 3,393.52. The corona virus and economic slowdown fears erased more than a third of the broad stock market value. But the index has rallied back closer to record high again.

    The S&P 500 index has lost 1.12% between July 22 and July 28. In the same period of time our five long and five short stock picks have lost 2.83%. Stock picks were relatively weaker than the broad stock market. Our long stock picks have lost 4.59% following a large INTC stock sell-off and short stock picks have resulted in a loss of 1.07%.

    Could we have avoided such loss? Our 10-stock (5 long and 5 short) portfolio's weekly decline has been relatively large in the last five trading days. However, a 20% loss in one stock accounts for "only" 2% loss of 10-stock portfolio. There are risks that couldn't be avoided in trading. Hence the need for proper money management and a relatively diversified stock portfolio. This is especially important if trading on a time basis - without using stop-loss/ profit target levels. We are just buying or selling stocks at open on Wednesday and selling or buying them back at close on the next Tuesday.

    If stocks were in a prolonged downtrend, being able to profit anyway, would be extremely valuable. Of course, it's not the point of our Stock Pick Updates to forecast where the general stock market is likely to move, but rather to provide you with stocks that are likely to generate profits regardless of what the S&P does.

    This means that our overall stock-picking performance can be summarized on the chart below. The assumptions are: starting with $100k, no leverage used. The data before Dec 24, 2019 comes from our internal tests and data after that can be verified by individual Stock Pick Updates posted on our website.

    Below we include statistics and the details of our three recent updates:

    • July 28, 2020
      Long Picks (July 22 open - July 28 close % change): MLM (-5.87%), MCD (+1.57%), INTC (-19.84%), XOM (-1.36%), IRM (+2.58%)
      Short Picks (July 22 open - July 28 close % change): COG (-0.38%), WY (+6.86%), SPGI (-1.77%), APD (-0.40%), HD (+1.02%)

      Average long result: -4.59%, average short result: -1.07%
      Total profit (average): -2.83%
    • July 21, 2020
      Long Picks (July 15 open - July 21 close % change): DOW (-1.40%), INTC (+2.83%), MCD (-0.47%), XOM (-0.84%), HST (-1.54%)
      Short Picks (July 15 open - July 21 close % change): COG (+4.57%), VNO (-5.52%), AON (+2.30%), LIN (+1.36%), AAPL (-2.01%)

      Average long result: -0.28%, average short result: -0.14%
      Total profit (average): -0.21%
    • July 7, 2020
      Long Picks (July 1 open - July 7 close % change): INTC (-2.67%), F (+0.33%), PPG (+2.17%), DTE (-0.35%), AIG (-5.93%)
      Short Picks (July 1 open - July 7 close % change): XEL (+2.00%), BLK (+0.91%), EOG (-5.72%), MSFT (+2.52%), EBAY (+8.14%)

      Average long result: -1.29%, average short result: -1.57%
      Total profit (average): -1.43%

    Let's check which stocks could magnify S&P's gains in case it rallies, and which stocks would be likely to decline the most if S&P plunges. Here are our stock picks for the Wednesday, July 29 - Tuesday, August 4 period.

    We will assume the following: the stocks will be bought or sold short on the opening of today's trading session (July 28) and sold or bought back on the closing of the next Tuesday's trading session (August 4).

    We will provide stock trading ideas based on our in-depth technical and fundamental analysis, but since the main point of this publication is to provide the top 5 long and top 5 short candidates (our opinion, not an investment advice) for this week, we will focus solely on the technicals. The latter are simply more useful in case of short-term trades.

    First, we will take a look at the recent performance by sector. It may show us which sector is likely to perform best in the near future and which sector is likely to lag. Then, we will select our buy and sell stock picks.

    There are eleven stock market sectors: Energy, Materials, Industrials, Consumer Discretionary, Consumer Staples, Health Care, Financials, Technology, Communications Services, Utilities and Real Estate. They are further divided into industries, but we will just stick with these main sectors of the stock market.

    We will analyze them and their relative performance by looking at the Select Sector SPDR ETF's.

    The stock market sector analysis is available to our subscribers only.

    Based on the above, we decided to choose our stock picks for the next week. We will choose our top 3 long and top 3 short candidates using trend-following approach, and top 2 long and top 2 short candidates using contrarian approach:

    Trend-following approach:

    • buys: 1 x Materials, 1 x Consumer Staples, 1 x Utilities
    • sells: 1 x Energy, 1 x Technology, 1 x Financials

    Contrarian approach (betting against the recent trend):

    • buys: 1 x Energy, 1 x Technology
    • sells: 1 x Materials, 1 x Consumer Staples

    Trend-following approach

    Top 3 Buy Candidates

    IFF Intl Flavors & Fragrances - Materials

    WBA Walgreens Boots Alliance, Inc. - Consumer Staples

    • Potential short-term uptrend continuation pattern - bull flag
    • The resistance level of $44 (short-term upside profit target)
    • The support level remains at $38-39

    ED Consolidated Edison, Inc. - Utilities

    • Stock broke above medium-term downward trend line
    • The resistance level and upside profit target level at $82-84
    • The support level is at $70

    Summing up, the above trend-following long stock picks are just a part of our whole Stock Pick Update. The Materials, Consumer Staples and Utilities sectors were relatively the strongest in the last 30 days. So that part of our ten long and short stock picks is meant to outperform in the coming days if the broad stock market acts similarly as it did before.

    We hope you enjoyed reading the above free analysis, and we encourage you to read today's Stock Pick Update - this analysis' full version. There, we include the stock market sector analysis for the past month and remaining long and short stock picks for the next week. There's no risk in subscribing right away, because there's a 30-day money back guarantee for all our products, so we encourage you to subscribe today.

    Thank you.

    Paul Rejczak
    Stock Trading Strategist
    Sunshine Profits - Effective Investments through Diligence and Care

  • Stock Pick Update: July 22 - July 28, 2020

    July 22, 2020, 8:50 AM

    The broad stock market has extended its uptrend in the last five trading days (July 15 - July 21). The S&P 500 index broke above its early June local high and it got closer to 3,300 mark. More than three months ago on March 23, the market sold off to new medium-term low of 2,191.86. It was a stunning 35.4% below February 19 record high of 3,393.52. The corona virus and economic slowdown fears have erased more than a third of the broad stock market value. Right now the index is just 4.01% below the record high.

    The S&P 500 index has gained 0.97% between July 15 and July 21. In the same period of time our five long and five short stock picks have lost 0.21%. Stock picks were relatively weaker than the broad stock market. Our long stock picks have lost 0.28% and short stock picks have resulted in a loss of 0.14%. However, the overall results remain relatively better than the S&P 500 index over last months.

    If stocks were in a prolonged downtrend, being able to profit anyway, would be extremely valuable. Of course, it's not the point of our Stock Pick Updates to forecast where the general stock market is likely to move, but rather to provide you with stocks that are likely to generate profits regardless of what the S&P does.

    This means that our overall stock-picking performance can be summarized on the chart below. The assumptions are: starting with $100k, no leverage used. The data before Dec 24, 2019 comes from our internal tests and data after that can be verified by individual Stock Pick Updates posted on our website.

    Below we include statistics and the details of our three recent updates:

    • July 21, 2020
      Long Picks (July 15 open - July 21 close % change): DOW (-1.40%), INTC (+2.83%), MCD (-0.47%), XOM (-0.84%), HST (-1.54%)
      Short Picks (July 15 open - July 21 close % change): COG (+4.57%), VNO (-5.52%), AON (+2.30%), LIN (+1.36%), AAPL (-2.01%)

      Average long result: -0.28%, average short result: -0.14%
      Total profit (average): -0.21%
    • July 7, 2020
      Long Picks (July 1 open - July 7 close % change): INTC (-2.67%), F (+0.33%), PPG (+2.17%), DTE (-0.35%), AIG (-5.93%)
      Short Picks (July 1 open - July 7 close % change): XEL (+2.00%), BLK (+0.91%), EOG (-5.72%), MSFT (+2.52%), EBAY (+8.14%)

      Average long result: -1.29%, average short result: -1.57%
      Total profit (average): -1.43%
    • June 30, 2020
      Long Picks (June 24 open - June 30 close % change): WY (+0.36%), CTSH (+3.76%), HIG (-0.57%), BSX (-2.39%), COP (-2.28%)
      Short Picks (June 24 open - June 30 close % change): EW (-1.51%), WMB (0.00%), ETR (-0.27%), CCI (+2.04%), ADBE (-1.07%)

      Average long result: -0.23%, average short result: +0.16%
      Total profit (average): -0.04%

    Let's check which stocks could magnify S&P's gains in case it rallies, and which stocks would be likely to decline the most if S&P plunges. Here are our stock picks for the Wednesday, July 22 - Tuesday, July 28 period.

    We will assume the following: the stocks will be bought or sold short on the opening of today's trading session (July 22) and sold or bought back on the closing of the next Tuesday's trading session (July 28).

    We will provide stock trading ideas based on our in-depth technical and fundamental analysis, but since the main point of this publication is to provide the top 5 long and top 5 short candidates (our opinion, not an investment advice) for this week, we will focus solely on the technicals. The latter are simply more useful in case of short-term trades.

    First, we will take a look at the recent performance by sector. It may show us which sector is likely to perform best in the near future and which sector is likely to lag. Then, we will select our buy and sell stock picks.

    There are eleven stock market sectors: Energy, Materials, Industrials, Consumer Discretionary, Consumer Staples, Health Care, Financials, Technology, Communications Services, Utilities and Real Estate. They are further divided into industries, but we will just stick with these main sectors of the stock market.

    We will analyze them and their relative performance by looking at the Select Sector SPDR ETF's.

    The stock market sector analysis is available to our subscribers only.

    Based on the above, we decided to choose our stock picks for the next week. We will choose our top 3 long and top 3 short candidates using trend-following approach, and top 2 long and top 2 short candidates using contrarian approach:

    Trend-following approach:

    • buys: 1 x Materials, 1 x Consumer Discretionary, 1 x Technology
    • sells: 1 x Energy, 1 x Real Estate, 1 x Financials

    Contrarian approach (betting against the recent trend):

    • buys: 1 x Energy, 1 x Real Estate
    • sells: 1 x Materials, 1 x Consumer Discretionary

    Trend-following approach

    Top 3 Buy Candidates

    MLM Martin Marietta Materials - Materials

    MCD McDonalds Corp. - Consumer Discretionary

    • Stock broke above month-long downward trend line
    • The resistance level of $200 (short-term upside profit target)
    • The support level remains at $180

    INTC Intel Corp. - Technology

    • Stock remains above medium-term upward trend line
    • The resistance level and upside profit target level at $65
    • The support level is at $56-57

    Summing up, the above trend-following long stock picks are just a part of our whole Stock Pick Update. The Materials, Consumer Discretionary and Technology sectors were relatively the strongest in the last 30 days. So that part of our ten long and short stock picks is meant to outperform in the coming days if the broad stock market acts similarly as it did before.

    We hope you enjoyed reading the above free analysis, and we encourage you to read today's Stock Pick Update - this analysis' full version. There, we include the stock market sector analysis for the past month and remaining long and short stock picks for the next week. There's no risk in subscribing right away, because there's a 30-day money back guarantee for all our products, so we encourage you to subscribe today.

    Thank you.

    Paul Rejczak
    Stock Trading Strategist
    Sunshine Profits - Effective Investments through Diligence and Care

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