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Premium daily stock trading service. In our Stock Trading Alerts, we provide extensive analyses and comments at least 1 time per trading day, usually before the opening bell. The analyses focus on all the key factors essential to determining the medium- and short-term outlook for the S&P 500 futures, spanning over several time frames, credit markets and S&P 500 sectors and ratios. They also capture the key fundamental developments, events and trends in assessing the prospects and health of the S&P 500 moves. This way, you’re kept up-to-date on important developments that far too many investors are apt to miss or underestimate.

Whether you're looking for objective analyses to broaden your horizon / add confidence to trading decisions, or want to get inspired by our trade calls for S&P 500 futures, Stock Trading Alerts are the way to go.

  • S&P500 - Expect Volatility Upon FOMC Release

    September 22, 2021, 10:14 AM

    The S&P 500 index closed virtually flat on Tuesday following Monday’s sell-off and late-day rebound off the 4,300 price level. Is the correction over?

    The S&P 500 index fell the lowest since July 20 on Monday, as it reached the daily low of 4,305.91. It was 239.9 points or 5.28% below the September 2 record high of 4,545.85. We’ve witnessed an intraday rebound as the market closed around 52 points above the daily low. And on Tuesday it got back to the 4,400 price level before closing 0.08% lower, at 4,354.19.

    The nearest important support level of the broad stock market index is now at 4,300-4,330 and the next support level is at 4,200. On the other hand, the nearest important resistance level is now at 4,400-4,450, marked by the previous support level. The S&P 500 broke below its over four-month-long upward trend line, as we can see on the daily chart (chart by courtesy of http://stockcharts.com):

    Medium-Term Downward Reversal or Just a Correction?

    The S&P 500 index broke below its medium-term upward trend line a few weeks ago. On Monday it fell to the nearest important support level is of 4,300, as we can see on the weekly chart:

    Dow Jones Remains Relatively Weak

    Let’s take a look at the Dow Jones Industrial Average chart. In early September the blue-chip index broke below a two-month-long rising wedge downward reversal pattern. It remained relatively weaker in August - September, as it didn’t reach new record high like the S&P 500 and the Nasdaq. And on Monday it fell below its July local low of around 33,740 before bouncing back to the 34,000 mark. The resistance level is now at 34,000-34,500, and the support level remains at around 33,500, as we can see on the daily chart:

    Apple Is At the Previous Local lows

    Apple stock weighs around 6.3% in the S&P 500 index, so it is important for the whole broad stock market picture. In early September it reached a new record high of $157.26. And since then it has been declining. So it looked like a bull trap trading action. On Monday the stock sold off to the previous local lows along $142 price level. They act as a support level. On the other hand, the resistance level is at around $145-146, marked by the recent local lows.

    Conclusion

    On Monday, the S&P 500 index accelerated the downtrend from the early September record high and yesterday it bounced to the 4,400 price level before closing virtually flat. It looked like a short-covering rally and a short-term upward correction. Today, we will have the important FOMC release at 2:00 p.m. We will likely see an increased volatility and the index may fluctuate within its Monday’s daily trading range.

    There have been no confirmed positive signals so far. Therefore, we think that the short position is justified from the risk/reward perspective.

    Here’s the breakdown:

    • The market accelerated its downtrend on Monday, as the S&P 500 index got close to 4,300 level.
    • Our speculative short position is still justified from the risk/reward perspective.
    • We are expecting some more downward pressure and a correction to 4,200-4,250 level.

    Today's premium Stock Trading Alert includes details of our trading position. Interested in more exclusive updates? Join our premium Stock Trading Alerts newsletter and read all the details today.

    Thank you.

    Paul Rejczak,
    Stock Trading Strategist
    Sunshine Profits: Effective Investments through Diligence and Care

  • S&P 500: Monday’s Big Down Day – a Negative Medium-Term Game Changer?

    September 21, 2021, 8:37 AM

    Available to premium subscribers only.

  • S&P 500 Is Poised to Open Much Lower, Is This a Dip-buying Opportunity?

    September 20, 2021, 8:42 AM

    Stocks are breaking down! The S&P 500 index fell almost 1% on Friday and today it is poised to open 1.8% lower. Are we getting close to a local low?

    The broad stock market index broke below its short-term consolidation on Friday, as the S&P 500 index fell below its recent local lows along 4,450 price level. On September 2 the index reached a new record high of 4,545.85. Since then it has lost almost 120 points. This morning stocks are expected to open much lower following big declines in Asia and Europe after news about Evergrande Real Estate Group crisis in China.

    The nearest important support level of the broad stock market index is now at 4,300-4,350 and the next support level is at 4,200. On the other hand, the nearest important resistance level is now at 4,400-4,450, marked by the previous support level. The S&P 500 broke below its over four-month-long upward trend line, as we can see on the daily chart (chart by courtesy of http://stockcharts.com):

    Dow Jones Is Leading Lower

    Let’s take a look at the Dow Jones Industrial Average chart. The blue-chip index broke below a potential two-month-long rising wedge downward reversal pattern recently. It remained relatively weaker in August - September, as it didn’t reach a new record high like the S&P 500 and the Nasdaq. Today it may sell off to 34,000 level or lower. The next support level is at around 33,250-33,500 and the resistance level is at 34,500, marked by the recent support level, as we can see on the daily chart:

    Apple Breaks Below Upward Trend Line

    Apple stock weighs around 6.3% in the S&P 500 index, so it is important for the whole broad stock market picture. In early September it reached a new record high of $157.26. And since then it has been declining. So it looked like a bull trap trading action. We can still see negative technical divergences between the price and indicators and a potential topping pattern. The stock is breaking below an over two-month-long upward trend line.

    September Last Year – S&P 500 Fell Almost 11%

    In 2020, the S&P 500 index reached a local high of 3,588.11 on September 2 and in just three weeks it fell 10.6% to local low of 3,209.45 on September 24. This year, September’s downward correction has started from the new record high of 4,545.85 on September 3, so there is a striking similarity between those two trading actions.

    Conclusion

    The S&P 500 index broke below its short-term consolidation on Friday and today it will most likely accelerate the downtrend from the early September record high. However, later in the day we may see some short-term/ intraday bottoming trading action.

    The market seems overbought, and we may see some more profound downward correction soon. Therefore, we think that the short position is justified from the risk/reward perspective.

    Here’s the breakdown:

    • The market is extending its downtrend today, as the S&P 500 index is likely to open much below 4,400 level.
    • Our speculative short position is still justified from the risk/reward perspective.
    • We are expecting a 5% or bigger correction from the record high.

    Today's premium Stock Trading Alert includes details of our trading position. Interested in more exclusive updates? Join our premium Stock Trading Alerts newsletter and read all the details today.

    Thank you.

    Paul Rejczak,
    Stock Trading Strategist
    Sunshine Profits: Effective Investments through Diligence and Care

  • Will Quadruple Witch Send Stock Prices Lower?

    September 17, 2021, 9:29 AM

    Stocks are going sideways since last Friday. Will they break higher and go back to the record high? Or the opposite? It still doesn’t look bullish.

    The broad stock market index lost 0.16% on Thursday as it fluctuated within a short-term consolidation following last week’s declines. On September 2 the index reached a new record high of 4,545.85. Since then it has lost over 110 points. This morning stocks are expected to open virtually flat again following a pre-session rebound from overnight lows.

    The index remains elevated after the recent run-up, so we may see more profound profit-taking action at some point.

    The nearest important support level of the broad stock market index is now at 4,435-4,450 and the next support level is at 4,400-4,410. On the other hand, the nearest important resistance level is now at 4,490-4,500, marked by the previous support level. The S&P 500 bounced off its over four-month-long upward trend line, as we can see on the daily chart (chart by courtesy of http://stockcharts.com):

    S&P 500’s Medium-Term Downward Reversal?

    The S&P 500 index broke below its medium-term upward trend line a few weeks ago. However, it is still relatively close to the record high. The nearest important support level is at 4,300, as we can see on the weekly chart:

    Dow Jones Trades Within a Consolidation

    Let’s take a look at the Dow Jones Industrial Average chart. The blue-chip index broke below a potential two-month-long rising wedge downward reversal pattern recently. It remained relatively weaker in August - September, as it didn’t reach a new record high like the S&P 500 and the Nasdaq. The support level is now at around 34,500 and the near resistance level is at 35,000, marked by the recent support level, as we can see on the daily chart:

    Apple at Support Level

    Apple stock weighs around 6.3% in the S&P 500 index, so it is important for the whole broad stock market picture. Last week it reached a new record high of $157.26. And since then it has been declining. So it looked like a bull trap trading action. On Friday the stock accelerated its downtrend following an unfavorable federal judge's ruling. We can still see negative technical divergences between the price and indicators and a potential topping pattern. The stock is at an over two-month-long upward trend line – it’s a ‘make or break’ situation.

    Conclusion

    The S&P 500 index continued to trade within a short-term consolidation yesterday. It’s been a week since the market reached the current price levels. So is this a flat correction within a downtrend or some bottoming pattern? Today we will most likely see another flat opening of the trading session – later in the day we may see some more volatility because of a quarterly derivatives expiration known as ‘quadruple witching Friday’.

    The market seems overbought, and we may see some more profound downward correction soon. Therefore, we think that the short position is justified from the risk/reward perspective.

    Here’s the breakdown:

    • The market retraced more of its recent advances this week, as the S&P 500 index extended its decline below 4,450 level.
    • Our speculative short position is still justified from the risk/reward perspective.
    • We are expecting a 5% or bigger correction from the record high.

    Today's premium Stock Trading Alert includes details of our trading position. Interested in more exclusive updates? Join our premium Stock Trading Alerts newsletter and read all the details today.

    Thank you.

    Paul Rejczak,
    Stock Trading Strategist
    Sunshine Profits: Effective Investments through Diligence and Care

  • S&P 500 In a Rebound Mode, End of Correction Move Down?

    September 16, 2021, 8:57 AM

    Available to premium subscribers only.

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