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Subtle Signals – Huge Changes

May 15, 2018, 7:09 AM Przemysław Radomski , CFA

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At first sight nothing really changed yesterday. The USD Index closed relatively unchanged, gold moved down just a little and while silver’s decline was more visible, one could view this move as rather accidental as silver is known to be volatile at times. Yet, there are grave implications of yesterday’s session as what happened yesterday only appears insignificant on a stand-alone basis. When one views it in light of the factors that were and still are in play and checks how the USD and metals moved relative to each other, it becomes clear that the implications are major enough for one to change their trading position.

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Jul Market Overview

Gold Market Overview

In this edition of the Market Overview, we will summarize the gold market in H1 2018 and provide tips on what to expect next. In particular, we will analyze the state of the current economic expansion, and whether or not it will end soon as many analysts believe.

Also, we will examine the two hottest issues in the past six months, or even the whole recovery: inflation and the yield curve which is only about 25-30 basis points from the inversion. As the inverted yield curve is believed to be a good predictor of the recession, we will dig into the topic and draw conclusions for the gold market.

Read more in the latest Market Overview report.

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