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przemyslaw-radomski

Declining Volatility in Gold & Silver and False Sense of Security

March 13, 2018, 9:59 AM Przemysław Radomski , CFA

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Gold, silver and mining stocks have been moving back and forth in the past few days and the overall volatility declined significantly. This may be viewed as an indication that the big price moves are nowhere close and that it's pointless to be watching this market at all. The reality is exactly the opposite.

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Dec Market Overview

Gold Market Overview

There are plenty of myths about the gold market, in particular about the alleged factors which are supposed to prevent gold prices from declining. In this edition of the Market Overview, we refute five of them:

1. Trade wars and lax fiscal policy are negative for the US dollar and positive for gold.
2. Central banks’ purchases create a floor for gold prices.
3. The price of gold cannot decline and stay below the gold production costs.
4. There is a disconnection between paper and physical gold prices and the former has to catch up with the latter eventually.
5. The extreme bearish CoT positioning necessarily implies the turning point in the gold market.

Read more in the latest Market Overview report.

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