Free Guest Analysis: Gold, Silver, Crude Oil, Stocks & Forex

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• Gold & Silver Trading Alert: Significant Reversal - Is the Rally Over?

  August 11, 2014, 3:06 PM

  

  On Friday gold moved well into our target area and then reversed. Is the local top in?

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• Bitcoin Trading Alert: Is This the Beginning of a Move up?

  August 8, 2014, 11:08 AM

  

  Yesterday, we saw a move up but it was not strong as the trading was down from the day before, which doesn’t quite confirm the appreciation. Does this mean that we're in for a period of depreciation or is a move up possible?

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• Oil Stocks – The Short-Term Consequences of The Long-Term Support

  August 8, 2014, 8:47 AM

  

  Without a doubt, July was the worst month for crude oil since the beginning of the year. It spent months climbing slowly from the January low of $91.24 to the 2014 high of $107.68 and then the commodity gave up over 60% of earlier gains in just seven weeks. The latest round of selling triggered a sharp decline below the long- and medium-term support lines, the 200-day moving average and the psychological barrier of $100, which turned the medium- and the short-term outlook to bearish. Did oil stocks follow this decline? What is their current technical picture? If you want to know our take on these questions, we invite you to read our today's essay.

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• The QE Could Be Coming to an End – So What?

  August 8, 2014, 5:49 AM

  

  It is important to review the minutes released recently by the Fed, since they may well signal a turning point in monetary policy. The programs of active purchasing of government debt and commercial assets may be curtailed. Yet, as we have often discussed at length, it is not the most important element. There are other factors of monetary policy to be considered: interest rates for one, and the Federal Open Market Committee suggested they may start to discuss interest rate hikes. The so called taperie (small version of tapering) process discussed earlier in the Market Overview appears to be slowly finalizing. Will this be as much of an issue that everyone seems to think?

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• Forex Trading Alert: Dark Clouds Over AUD/USD

  August 7, 2014, 2:48 PM

  

  The Australian dollar declined to a two-month low against its U.S. counterpart after official data showed that the number of employed people in Australia fell by 300 in the previous month, missing expectations for an increase of 12,000. Additionally, Australia's unemployment rate rose to 6.4% last month, from 6.0% in June. Later in the day, AUD/USD extended losses after the Labor Department said in its report that initial claims for jobless benefits in the week ending Aug. 2 fell by 14,000, beating analysts’ expectations for a 2,000 increase. Because of these numbers, the pair declined to the long-term support line. Will it be strong enough to stop currency bears’ charge?

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• Stock Trading Alert: Uncertainty Following Last Week’s Move Down – Will Downward Correction Extend?

  August 7, 2014, 7:20 AM

  

  S&P 500 continue to fluctuate above the level of 1,900. Is this a flat correction within short-term downtrend, or a bottoming consolidation?

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• Gold & Silver Trading Alert: Silver’s Significant Underperformance and Its Implications

  August 6, 2014, 10:32 AM

  

  Yesterday’s price action in the precious metals market was very specific. Gold declined very little, silver declined much more, and mining stocks moved a bit higher. When we see a mirror image of such action (gold pauses, silver rallies and miners decline a bit), it’s usually a sign of a top. Have we just seen a local bottom?

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• Oil Trading Alert: Crude Oil - At Crossroads

  August 6, 2014, 8:28 AM

  

  On Tuesday, crude oil lost 0.83% as worries over plentiful supplies outweighed fears that violence in Iraq, Libya and Ukraine could disrupt production. As a result, light crude declined to its level since February, testing the strength of the nearest support zone. Will it withstand the selling pressure?

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• Bitcoin Trading Alert: Strong Move in Bitcoin Possible

  August 5, 2014, 11:47 AM

  

  We saw Bitcoin moving up and down yesterday on increased volume. Overall, the currency closed the day pretty much where it had started it. Today, we've seen some depreciation. What are the possible implications of these moves?

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• Forex Trading Alert: EUR/USD – Time for Rebound?

  August 4, 2014, 6:17 PM

  

  On Friday, the common currency rebounded sharply after disappointing U.S. employment data, which showed that the U.S. economy added 209,000 jobs in July, missing expectations for an increase of 233,000. As a result, EUR/USD erased over 20% of recent declines and came back above 1.3400. Will currency bulls manage to push the pair higher?

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• Stock Trading Alert: Short-Term Uncertainty Following Last Week’s Selloff – Will Downtrend Continue?

  August 4, 2014, 7:07 AM

  

  S&P 500 got closer to the level of 1,900, extending its downward correction, as investors reacted to economic data announcements. Is holding short position justified?

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• Bitcoin Trading Alert: Significant Day in the Bitcoin Market

  August 1, 2014, 1:46 PM

  

  We saw a strong move up yesterday on significant volume. This move took Bitcoin slightly above the recent declining trend line. Today, there's been even more appreciation. Are these the signs of a new rally unfolding?

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• Forex Trading Alert: EUR/USD - Correction Is Gaining Steam

  July 29, 2014, 2:07 PM

  

  Earlier today, the Conference Board showed that its index of consumer confidence increased to 90.9 in the previous month and it was the highest reading since October 2007. As a result, EUR/USD extended losses and dropped to its lowest level since November. Will currency bears push the pair below 1.3400?

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• Gold & Silver Trading Alert: Gold and Dollar’s July Rally

  July 28, 2014, 10:04 AM

  

  Gold and the rest of the precious metals market moved higher on Friday and the volume was not low. It was lower (for the GLD ETF) than what we had seen during Thursday’s decline, so there are some bearish implications. But are they really that important?

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• Forex Trading Alert: Dark Clouds Over GBP/USD

  July 24, 2014, 12:03 PM

  

  Earlier today, the Office for National Statistics reported that retail sales rose just 0.1% in June from a month earlier, missing expectations for a 0.3% gain. Additionally, on a year-over-year basis, retail sales rose 3.6% in the previous month, also below expectations for a 3.9% increase. Thanks to these disappointing numbers, GBP/USD declined a 1-month low against the U.S. dollar and broke below an important support line. Will this event trigger further deterioration?

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