Please note that due to market volatility, some of the key levels may have already been reached and scenarios played out.
Trading positions
- Crude Oil [CLX21] We project $69.09-70.11 as a new (long-term) support onto which prices could rebound, so we would go long after a dip around that area with a stop just below $66.92 and with targets around $74.24 (TP1) and $78.33 (TP2);
- Natural Gas [NGX21] Long around $5.480-5.568 with stop below $4.766 (previous swing low) and targets at $6.63 (TP1) and $7.79 (TP2) – Entry triggered!
Regarding our trade position on natural gas, Friday offered a new opportunity to enter on the same $5.480-5.568 support level (yellow rectangle), as we projected this would act as a floor.
Figure 1 – Henry Hub Natural Gas (NGX21) Futures (November contract, daily chart, logarithmic scale)
Figure 2 – Henry Hub Natural Gas (NGX21) Futures (November contract, weekly chart, logarithmic scale)
Figure 3 – WTI Crude Oil (CLX21) Futures (November contract, daily chart, logarithmic scale)
This could be an interesting week in perspective for both energy commodity markets!
Market Analysis
While most of the UK fuel crisis is resolved, the British government suggested that the military truck drivers will be helping out to facilitate the arrival of fuel to the South-East region, including London, where shortages still remain to be fixed around the capital.
(Source: Matt Cartoons)
As I already mentioned in a number of previous editions of our Oil Trading Alerts, we are still witnessing a very particular phenomenon of gas demand shifting to oil demand, as crude is nowadays relatively more competitive. Thus, this switch in energy demand could come in the following forms:
- From a slowdown in electricity production in Asia.
- From a hedging effect in the anticipation of a colder than normal winter in the northern hemisphere.
OPEC+ members are meeting today and, therefore, might increase their production a little more than expected to rebalance supply. So, would it help the black gold to make a new dip?
Figure 1 – WTI Crude Oil (CLX21) Futures (November contract, daily chart, logarithmic scale)
Figure 2 – Henry Hub Natural Gas (NGX21) Futures (November contract, daily chart, logarithmic scale)
As always, we’ll keep you, our subscribers well informed.
Please note that due to market volatility, some of the key levels may have already been reached and scenarios played out.
Trading positions
- Crude Oil [CLX21] We project the $69.09-70.11 as a new (long-term) support onto which prices could rebound, so we would go long after a dip around that area with a stop just below $66.92 and with targets around $74.24 (TP1) and $78.33 (TP2);
- Natural Gas [NGX21] Long around $5.480-5.568 with stop below $4.766 (previous swing low) and targets at $6.63 (TP1) and $7.79 (TP2) – Entry triggered!
Regarding our trade position on natural gas, Friday offered a new opportunity to enter on the same $5.480-5.568 support level (yellow rectangle), as we projected this would act as a floor.
Thank you.
Sebastien Bischeri
Oil & Gas Trading Strategist
