Free Guest Analysis: Gold, Silver, Crude Oil, Stocks & Forex
Below you will find guest articles on investing and trading. Please note that the opinions included below don't represent the opinions of our company or any of its employees - they are only opinions of the respective authors. If you'd like to check out our premium analyses, please take a few seconds to sign up for our free 7-day trial today.
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Crude Oil and Its Connection with the U.S. Dollar
October 22, 2013, 9:18 AMThe recent months have been tough for the U.S. currency. Since July the greenback has lost 6% and dropped below the 80 level. At the beginning of the month, crude oil prices were supported by a weaker U.S. dollar as commodities priced in the dollar became less expensive for holders of other currencies. Did this relationship remain in place in the following days? Has a weaker U.S. dollar always been so bullish for crude oil? What could happen with light crude if we see a rebound in the greenback? If you want to know our take on these questions, we invite you to read our today's essay.
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Federal Reserve, Stock Market & Gold
October 22, 2013, 6:33 AMIn our previous article we have seen how Federal Reserve’s balance sheet grew in the last few years. Now let us look how this growth coincided with increases on the stock market and what it means for gold.
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Is the Rising Stock Market Bullish or Bearish News for Gold?
October 18, 2013, 10:40 AMYestarday, the S&P 500 closed at a new high and its intraday record of 1733.45 broke the all-time high set Sept. 19. Taking into account the fact that there are no technical resistance levels at the moment, it seems that stocks could continue their rally in the coming weeks or even months. How may the current situation in the general stock market translate into the precious metals market? If you want to know our take on this question, we invite you to read our today's essay.
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Is It Right Time to Buy Oil Stocks?
October 16, 2013, 12:16 PMOil investors are focusing now mostly on news out of Washington, because it could have the greatest impact on crude prices this week. During the last session we saw this very clearly. Light crude fell throughout the session as hopes for a deal to end the U.S. debt crisis steadily diminished and oil finally closed at its lowest level since the beginning of July.
Did the recent price moves in crude oil have any impact on the oil index? How does the relationship between light crude and the oil stocks look like? If you want to know our take on these questions, we invite you to read our today's essay.
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Stock Market Ready for New High? What Impact Could It Have on Gold?
October 15, 2013, 11:56 AMOn Monday, the S&P 500 Index dropped below 1,700, however, early in the afternoon the index reversed course and climbed to an intraday high of 1,711. Yesterday, the S&P 500 rose for a fourth day and closed at the highest level since September 19. It's worth noting that the index is within 16 points of its September 18 record of 1,725.52. Does this mean that investor sentiment is improving? Could we see further growth in stocks? Will the market players be more likely to sell precious metals? What impact could it have on gold? If you want to know our take on these questions, we invite you to read our today's essay.
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Crude Oil: Change of Trend or Just a Correction?
October 14, 2013, 12:56 PMThe previous week was quite hard for the oil bulls. Light crude lost almost 2% and slipped to its lowest level since July 3. Since the beginning of the month crude oil remains in the narrow range between $100 and $104 per barrel. Will we see a breakthrough in the following days? Where are the nearest support zones and resistance levels? Are there any technical factors that may have an impact on crude oil? If you want to know our take on these questions, we invite you to read our today's essay.
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What Was This Fed's Activity That Was Not Tapered?
October 14, 2013, 9:20 AMWe all heard about various “bailouts” or the financial wizardry that the American government used after the 2008 crisis. In a two pronged play the government spent public money while at the same time it introduced the “quantitative easing” program, which resulted in huge money printing and increases to the “narrowly defined money supply.” As mentioned in the last reports, even though it was inflationary it was not very, very inflationary-- at least not yet.
Lots and lots of new money was created, huge mountains of the stuff. The biggest question is what happened to this money and how did this affect the stocks and bonds? So besides the quantitative aspect there is also the qualitative aspect – what has happened to the money? Where did it go? How would the Fed’s activity to step back affect the markets? Finally - how is gold likely to react to the above in the long run?
The above is a small excerpt from our latest Market Overview report. The full version includes much more in-depth analysis of this and other fundamental factors that are likely to affect the gold market in the near future. You can sign up for these reports here.
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Gold and Debt Ceiling - Here We Go Again
October 11, 2013, 11:37 AMSince the U.S. shutdown began last week gold has been trading in a tight range between $1,277 and $1,330 per ounce. Yesterday, President Barack Obama agreed to consider a proposal from Republican lawmakers to avert a historic debt default. What impact did these circumstances have on the yellow metal? Gold fell and touched a one and a half week low of $1,282. What could happen if the yellow metal closes today below this level? Will an increase in the debt ceiling end the decline in the gold market? What is the current situation in gold? If you want to know our take on these questions, we invite you to read our today's essay.
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Oil Stocks vs. Crude Oil
October 9, 2013, 9:25 AMThe first week of a new month and a new quarter was quite good for oil bulls. Although we saw a drop below the August low and the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level, light crude gained 0.87% in the previous week and closed higher for a first time in four weeks. At the same time oil stocks closed lower for a first time in five weeks. Does it mean that they became weaker in relation to crude oil? How does the relationship between light crude and the oil stocks look like? If you want to know our take on these questions, we invite you to read our today's essay.
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Did Gold Stop Responding to the U.S. Dollar Price Moves?
October 8, 2013, 11:43 AMThe recent week was tough for the U.S. currency. Investors avoided the dollar as uncertainty over the U.S. government shutdown and the upcoming debate on the debt ceiling weighed on sentiment. These circumstances resulted in declines and the dollar dropped to a new eight-month low in the previous week. What’s interesting, at the same time we didn’t notice a sharp increase in gold. Does it mean that the yellow metal stopped responding to the U.S. dollar price moves? What’s next? Can gold climb higher in the near term once again? If you want to know our take on these questions, we invite you to read our today's essay.
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Is Crude Oil Ready for Further Growth? What Impact Could It Have on Gold?
October 7, 2013, 12:13 PMOne of the main events of recent days was the first U.S. government shutdown in 17 years. In the previous week, light crude dropped to a new September’s low at $101.05 and gold declined below $1,300 an ounce. Despite this declines, both commodities rebounded sharply in the middle of the previous week supported by a weaker U.S. dollar. Additionally, we saw similar price action in both cases in the following days. Will crude oil lead gold higher once again? What could happen if the recent positive divergences between both commodities remain in place? If you want to know our take on these questions, we invite you to read our today's essay.
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Volatile Times Ahead for Silver
October 3, 2013, 11:21 AMYesterday, silver gained almost 2.7% and reached $22. The white metal was supported by a weaker dollar and U.S. economic data, which raised hopes the Federal Reserve would stick to its stimulus for longer. Does this growth change the outlook for silver? What’s next? Can the white metal climb higher in the near term? Are there any technical factors that could have an impact on future silver prices? If you want to know our take on these questions, we invite you to read our today's essay.
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Currency Strength and Central Bank's Activity – Got Gold?
October 2, 2013, 1:54 PMWhat is the dollar system, how it's performing, what does it have to do with money creation and how are the above likely to impact gold going forward - you can read this and more in today's free essay.
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Gold & Mining Stocks: The Outlook Remains Bearish
October 1, 2013, 11:25 AMAfter three quarters of declines prompted by fears over U.S. stimulus tapering, gold posted a near 8% gain for the September quarter. Yesterday, the yellow metal gained on safe-haven bids surrounding the U.S. government shutdown and reached $1,347. Will gold break out of its $1,300 to $1,350 range? Or maybe we’ll see a breakdown below $1,300? What kind of impact can mining stocks have on gold’s future price? If you want to know the answers to these questions, we invite you to read today's essay.
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Is Crude Oil a Step Behind or Ahead of the Oil Index?
September 30, 2013, 1:18 PMEarlier this month, the oil index climbed above the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level (based on the entire July-August decline) and the declining line based on the May and July highs (currently close to the 1,404 level). Additionally, the oil stocks broke above the July high. Does it sound bullish? What is the current technical picture for the oil stocks? Can the oil index climb higher in the nearest future once again? How does the relationship between light crude and the oil stocks look like? Could lower prices of crude oil have any implications for the oil stocks? If you want to know our take on these questions, we invite you to read our today's essay.
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