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Free Guest Analysis: Gold, Silver, Crude Oil, Stocks & Forex

Below you will find guest articles on investing and trading. Please note that the opinions included below don't represent the opinions of our company or any of its employees - they are only opinions of the respective authors. If you'd like to check out our premium analyses, please take a few seconds to sign up for our free 7-day trial today.

  • Yellen as a Predictor of Bubbles?

    November 18, 2013, 11:12 AM

    In predicting the inflation rate, labor markets and GDP growth, Yellen has overshadowed the others. But what has been discussed recently is her statement back from 2005, when the real estate bubble was at its highest. Her reasonable observation was: there was a bubble.

  • USD & Euro Indices Correct – What About Gold?

    November 15, 2013, 7:45 AM

    In our most recent article on gold, USD and Euro Indices we wrote that the outlook for the yellow metal was bearish just as the outlook for the Euro Index and just as it was bullish for the USD Index. At this time – since all of the above-mentioned markets moved in the opposite way – you might be wondering if we are sticking to the above analysis. In the medium-term, we do, but not in the short run. In fact, earlier this week we told our subscribers to cash in the profits from the short positions as the bullish correction was quite likely to be seen. So, have metals bottomed?

  • The Oil Stock Index and Its Relationship with the Stock Market

    November 14, 2013, 8:57 AM

    In today’s essay we decided to examine one of the most interesting relationships present on the crude oil market – the one between oil stocks and other stocks. After all, oil stocks’ weakness relative to other stocks might indicate weakness in the entire oil sector. Can divergences tell us something about the future price moves in the crude oil sector? It turns out that this might be the case. You will find details in today’s essay.

  • Plunging Euro, Rising Dollar and Their Impact on Gold’s Future Moves

    November 12, 2013, 12:12 PM

    The yellow metal has been trading below $1,300 since Friday and has fallen about 3% in the last four sessions as data on strong U.S. economic and jobs growth boosted speculation that the Federal Reserve will move to reduce its bond purchases and remove a long-running source of support from the gold market. Taking the above into account, investors are probably wondering whether the final bottom of the recent corrective move is already in or not. Will gold drop any further? Will it test the strength of the October low in the coming days? Is it possible that the dollar and euro will give us some interesting clues? If you want to know our take on these questions, we invite you to read our today's essay.

  • Curious Case of Ben Bernanke

    November 11, 2013, 8:47 AM

    Without a doubt, the biggest news in recent weeks has been the upcoming replacement of Fed Chairman Ben Bernanke by Janet Yellen, Vice Chair of the Board of Governors and a highly qualified economist who, many predict will continue in the Bernanke mold. Bernanke’s story is actually quite fascinating, and can teach us how to approach future Fed nominations.

  • Was Consolidation in Mining Stocks a Sign of Strength?

    November 8, 2013, 11:04 AM

    In our Wednesday’s free essay we discussed the situation in the Euro Index and mining stocks. We wrote that the long-term downtrend in the Euro Index remains in place and that the short-term uptrend might already be over. We emphasized that, based on the precious metals’ correlations with the currency markets, the implications of the bearish outlook for the Euro Index are also bearish for gold, silver and mining stocks.

    This was further confirmed by the analysis of the miners themselves (not only had the HUI Index reached its declining medium-term resistance line, but the same had been the case with the gold-stocks-to-gold ratio). In today’s article, we will further elaborate on the mining stock sector and discuss whether this week’s consolidation is really a sign of strength.

  • Final Bottom in Crude Oil or Just a Pause?

    November 7, 2013, 8:22 AM

    As we wrote in our previous essay, the first days of the new month have been hard for oil bulls. Since the beginning of November crude oil has lost over 2.6% and dropped to $93 per barrel. However, after six consecutive lower closes light crude rebounded and came back to around $95 per barrel. Is it possible that the final bottom in crude is already in? If you want to know our take on this question, we invite you to read our today's essay.

  • Mining Stocks and the Euro and their Implications for Precious Metals

    November 6, 2013, 1:20 PM

    In our previous essay we focused on the most interesting asset and checked what we can expect to see on the gold market. Since then the yellow metal dropped below $1,340 and almost reached an important support level at $1,300. Gold has lost about 3% since Oct. 28 and has logged its longest losing run since mid-May when it dropped 8% in seven days. Additionally, we also saw drops in case of silver and mining stocks. Today, we will examine the Euro Index and the HUI Index (along with its performance relative to gold) to see if there's anything on the horizon that could drive the precious metals market higher or lower. Have a nice read.

  • What Can We Infer From the Oil to Oil Stocks Ratio?

    November 5, 2013, 1:21 PM

    In the previous week, the selloff in crude oil has been fueled by rising U.S. stockpiles, which have climbed roughly 8% over the past six weeks. Total inventories now stand at 383.9 million barrels and government data this week could show that stockpiles finished October at their highest level since 1930. This week, light crude extended losses as ongoing concerns over rising U.S. inventories and weaker demand in the world's largest oil consumer drove prices lower. In this way, the price dropped to a new four-month low. Where is the final bottom of the current correction? Is it possible that the light-crude-to-oil-stock-index ratio will give us some interesting clues? If you want to know our take on these questions, we invite you to read our today's essay.

  • Can VIX Substitute Gold?

    November 4, 2013, 9:20 AM

    We've recently read a very interesting essay on gold, VIX (the volatility index) and the safe haven status entitled "Forget gold, the VIX is the new safe haven" and we would like to share our thoughts about it in today's commentary.

  • Gold Price in November 2013

    October 31, 2013, 10:43 AM

    In our previous essay we took a closer look at the situation in silver and mining stocks (precisely: SLV and GDX ETFs) and discussed how it may translate into the precious metals market. Today, we focus on the most interesting asset and check what we can expect in the gold market in the near future. Does it confirm the indications for silver and mining stocks? If you want to know our take on this question, we invite you to read our today's essay.

  • Do Oil Stocks Have Better Upside Potential Than Crude Oil?

    October 30, 2013, 12:11 PM

    In the previous week, the price of crude oil not only dropped below the psychological barrier of $100, but also reached a new four-month low of $95.95. On the other hand, the buyers managed to push light crude higher at the end of the last week. Earlier this week we saw further improvement and the price climbed to almost $99 per barrel. Taking the above circumstances into account, investors are probably wondering about the impact on oil stocks. How does the relationship between crude oil and the oil stock index look like at the moment? Can oil stocks move higher in the near future? If you want to know our take on these questions, we invite you to read our today's essay.

  • Silver and Mining Stocks – Resistance Has Been Reached

    October 29, 2013, 2:10 PM

    In our previous commentary we discussed the implications that the most recent moves in the USD Index and the general stock market are likely to have on the precious metals market. Today, we will briefly discuss two parts of the PM market: silver and mining stocks and explain whether or not the recent rally has run out of steam.

  • What Tapering?

    October 28, 2013, 11:06 AM

    Big twists in the market pricing behavior because of the Fed's meeting on the 18th seem like an exaggeration, even ludicrous. We do not see huge fundamental changes in the economy to justify those mood swings.

  • Dollar's Breakdown, Stocks' Breakout and Implications for Gold

    October 25, 2013, 11:40 AM

    The combination of recent economic data and the 16-day U.S. government shutdown has suggested that the Fed may keep its bond purchase in place for longer. These circumstances fueled gold's appeal as a hedge against inflation and resulted in a rally. In less than two weeks, the yellow metal has gained 8% (nearly $100 an ounce) and reached its highest level since Sept. 20. Looking at the chart of gold from today’s point of view, it seems that the shiny metal will end higher for a second straight week. Will it keep rallying? Or maybe further gains will be difficult to achieve in the near term? Is it possible that the dollar and stocks will give us some interesting clues? If you want to know our take on these questions, we invite you to read our today's essay.

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