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The S&P 500 bounced on Monday, and today it’s going to open much higher after the CPI data. Will the uptrend resume?

The broad stock market index gained 1.43% yesterday, as it went the highest since last Tuesday. Last week on Monday it reversed lower after a better-than-expected ISM Services PMI release, and on Tuesday it was as low as 3,918.39 (going down from its last week’s local high of 4,100.51).

This morning the S&P 500 will likely open 2.7% higher following lower-than-expected Consumer Price Index release. The market will be now waiting for tomorrow’s FOMC release. It still looks like a weeks-long consolidation within an uptrend. However, last week on Tuesday the index broke below its two-month-long upward trend line, as we can see on the daily chart:

Futures Contract Rallies to New High

Let’s take a look at the hourly chart of the S&P 500 futures contract. It broke above the previous local highs on the inflation release. The support level is now at 4,050-4,100, marked by the recent resistance level.

Conclusion

Stocks are about to open much higher this morning on lower than expected consumer inflation release. So the S&P 500 index will likely get back above the 4,000 level. Tomorrow we will have the important FOMC release, and there will likely be even more volatility.

Here’s the breakdown:

• S&P 500 index got close to the 4,000 level yesterday, and today it will break above it.
• Stock prices may resume their two-month-long uptrend.

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Sunshine Profits: Effective Investments through Diligence and Care

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Stock prices rebounded, as the index went closer to support levels. Is the correction over?

The S&P 500 index gained 0.75% on Thursday, as it retraced some more of its Monday’s-Tuesday’s decline. On Monday the market reversed lower after a better-than-expected ISM Services PMI release, and on Tuesday it was as low as 3,918.39 (going down from its last week’s local high of 4,100.51). Yesterday the market went closer to the 3,975 level.

This morning the S&P 500 will likely open 0.5% lower following higher-than-expected Producer Price Index release. So it may continue to fluctuate after the recent declines. It still looks like a weeks-long consolidation within an uptrend. However, on Tuesday the index broke below its two-month-long upward trend line, as we can see on the daily chart:

Futures Contract Went Below 4,000 Again

Let’s take a look at the hourly chart of the S&P 500 futures contract. Recently it broke below the slight upward trend line, and before today’s data release the market was trading back above it, and above the 4,000 level. Right now it’s trading lower. The resistance level remains at 4,000-4,050.

Conclusion

Stock prices slightly rebounded on Thursday and today they will likely retrace some of that rebound. The market will extend its short-term consolidation and remain within a month-long trading range along the 4,000 level. Investors will be waiting for the next week’s Tuesday’s CPI release and Wednesday’s FOMC release.

Here’s the breakdown:

• S&P 500 index fluctuates after its early-week sell-off.
• The market may be forming a short-term bottom.

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Paul Rejczak,
Stock Trading Strategist
Sunshine Profits: Effective Investments through Diligence and Care

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