Trading position (short-term, our opinion; S&P 500 futures contract): In my opinion, the short-term outlook is bullish and long positions are still justified from the risk/reward point of view (since Feb. 27).
S&P 500 broke above 4,500, but bulls are not out of the woods yet.
The S&P 500 index gained 0.38% yesterday as it extended its Tuesday’s advance of 1.5%. The market is gaining following worse than economic data amidst reduced pressure for the further monetary policy tightening. On Friday the index bounced from the daily low of around 4,356 despite a hawkish speech from the Fed Chair Powell and recently it has been selling off on strengthening U.S. dollar, among other factors.
Stocks will likely open 0.2% higher this morning, so the S&P 500 will remain above the 4,500 level. On Tuesday it broke above an over month-long downward trend line as we can see on the daily chart:
Futures Contract Extends Its Advance
Let’s take a look at the hourly chart of the S&P 500 futures contract. This morning it’s trading along the 4,530 level. The nearest important level of resistance is at around 4,540-4,550, marked by the previous local highs.
Conclusion
The S&P 500 index rallied on Tuesday and yesterday it broke above the 4,500 level. Investors’ sentiment improves as the pressure for further monetary policy tightening is somewhat easing. So has the market reversed its downtrend? For now it looks like an advance within a medium-term consolidation following a first half of the year rally. The markets will be waiting for tomorrow’s monthly jobs data release.
Here’s the breakdown:
- Stock prices retraced more of their recent declines.
- The S&P 500 broke above the 4,500 level, but it may face some uncertainty ahead of tomorrow’s jobs data.
- In my opinion, the short-term outlook is still bullish and long positions are still justified from the risk/reward point of view.
As always, we’ll keep you, our subscribers, well-informed.
Trading position (short-term, our opinion; S&P 500 futures contract): In my opinion, the short-term outlook is bullish and long positions are still justified from the risk/reward point of view (since Feb. 27).
Thank you.
Paul Rejczak,
Stock Trading Strategist
Sunshine Profits: Effective Investments through Diligence and Care
