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paul-rejczak

Stocks – Rally As the S&P 500 Breaks 4,200

May 19, 2023, 9:07 AM Paul Rejczak

Trading position (short-term, our opinion; S&P 500 futures contract): In my opinion, the short-term outlook is bullish and long positions are still justified from the risk/reward point of view (since Feb. 27).

Stock prices extended their rally yesterday – will S&P 500 continue higher?

The S&P 500 index gained 0.94% on Thursday as it broke above the May 1 local high and the 4,.200 level. Early in the week stock prices went sideways following last Wednesday’s CPI and Thursday’s PPI releases. Last week on Thursday May 4 the S&P 500 fell to the local low of 4,048.28, but it quickly got back to around 4,150.

Stocks will likely open 0.4% higher this morning. So the S&P 500 is expected to extend its advance after breaking above the important 4,200 level. The market reached new medium-term high as we can see on the daily chart:

Futures Contract Trades Above 4,200

Let’s take a look at the hourly chart of the S&P 500 futures contract. It is trading above the previous local highs. The support level is now at 4,180-4,200, marked by the recent resistance level.

Conclusion

Stocks will likely extend their yesterday’s rally this morning. However, the market may see a profit-taking action at some point. There may be a volatility following the Fed Chair Powell’s speech at 11:00 a.m. The stock market extends its uptrend from the mid-March local low.

Here’s the breakdown:

  • The S&P 500 broke above the 4,200 level yesterday.
  • There have been no confirmed negative signals so far.
  • In my opinion, the short-term outlook is bullish and long positions are still justified from the risk/reward point of view.

As always, we’ll keep you, our subscribers, well-informed.

Trading position (short-term, our opinion; S&P 500 futures contract): In my opinion, the short-term outlook is bullish and long positions are still justified from the risk/reward point of view (since Feb. 27).

Thank you.

Paul Rejczak,
Stock Trading Strategist
Sunshine Profits: Effective Investments through Diligence and Care

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