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S&P 500 at New Medium-Term High Ahead of the Fed Release

June 14, 2023, 8:58 AM Paul Rejczak

Trading position (short-term, our opinion; S&P 500 futures contract): In my opinion, the short-term outlook is bullish and long positions are still justified from the risk/reward point of view (since Feb. 27).

Stocks extended their rally – will the S&P 500 reach 4,400 level?

The S&P 500 index gained 0.69% on Tuesday following its Monday’s gain of 0.9% as it reached new medium-term high following the recent breakout above the 4,300 level. The daily high was at 4,375.37 and it was the highest since April of 2022.

There is still a lot of uncertainty concerning monetary policy, the coming economic data releases including today’s FOMC, some technology stocks’ valuation concerns, but overall, the investors’ sentiment is still bullish.

The S&P 500 will likely open 0.1% higher this morning. The market will be waiting for the Fed’s Interest Rate Decision release at 2:00 p.m. and the Fed’s Press Conference at 2:30 p.m. S&P 500 is trading above a month-long upward trend line as we can see on the daily chart:

Futures Contract Trades Above 4,400

Let’s take a look at the hourly chart of the S&P 500 futures contract. It continues to trade above the 4,400 level. The support level is also at around 4,350.

Conclusion

The S&P 500 index will likely fluctuate following its Monday’s-Tuesday’s rally this morning. There will be a volatility following today’s FOMC release at 2:00 p.m. There have been no confirmed negative signals so far, however, the market may see a profit-taking action at some point.

Here’s the breakdown:

  • The S&P 500 is the highest since April of 2022 as investors await the Fed’s monetary policy release.
  • There have been no confirmed negative signals so far.
  • In my opinion, the short-term outlook is bullish and long positions are still justified from the risk/reward point of view.

As always, we’ll keep you, our subscribers, well-informed.

Trading position (short-term, our opinion; S&P 500 futures contract): In my opinion, the short-term outlook is bullish and long positions are still justified from the risk/reward point of view (since Feb. 27).

Thank you.

Paul Rejczak,
Stock Trading Strategist
Sunshine Profits: Effective Investments through Diligence and Care

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