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Stock Trading Alert: Sentiment worsens as indexes move down within recent trading range

March 27, 2014, 7:39 AM

Our intraday outlook is neutral, and our short-term outlook remains neutral:

Intraday (next 24 hours) outlook: neutral
Short-term (next 1-2 weeks) outlook: neutral
Medium-term (next 1-3 months) outlook: neutral
Long-term outlook (next year): bullish

The U.S. stock market indexes lost 0.6-1.3% yesterday, moving away from their long-term highs once again, as investors reacted to some geopolitical news concerning Russia-Ukraine conflict, among others. However, the S&P 500 index remains in a month-long consolidation, still above the support level of 1,840-1,850. The resistance is at 1,880-1,900. There is no clear short-term trend, as we can see on the daily chart:

Daily S&P 500 index chart - SPX, Large Cap Index

Expectations before the opening of today’s session are slightly positive, with index futures currently up 0.2%. The main European stock market indexes have been mixed between -0.5% and +0.1% so far. Investors will now wait for some economic data releases: Initial Claims, Q4 GDP at 8:30 a.m., Pending Home Sales number at 10:00 a.m. The S&P 500 futures contract (CFD) continues to trade in a short-term consolidation. The nearest important support is at around 1,840, as the 15-minute chart shows:

S&P500 futures contract - S&P 500 index chart - SPX

The technology Nasdaq 100 futures contract (CFD) extended its recent move down, remaining relatively weaker, as it broke below the level of 3,600. We can see some increased volatility. There have been no confirmed short-term downtrend reversal signals so far:

Nasdaq100 futures contract - Nasdaq 100 index chart - NDX

Thank you.

Paul Rejczak
Stock Trading Strategist
Stock Trading Alerts

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