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Oil Investment - Extensive Monthly Updates

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Are you interested in oil investment?Oil Investment Updates are extensive, monthly analytical reports that keep you updated on the medium- and long-term outlook for the crude oil market. Every first Tuesday of the month Nadia Simmons covers the key oil news and changes in fundamental tendencies and provides you with detailed technical analysis of crude oil, oil stocks along with related markets and ratios. Updates are accompanied by the analysis of scenarios that are likely to be seen in the following weeks along with their likelihood and suggested actions in each case and a simple summary and is accompanied with actionable trading ideas. Additionally, Investment Alerts will be sent whenever the medium- or long-term outlook changes between Updates. Essays based on investment updates are occasionally posted in our Articles section, so you can review these real-time samples before you subscribe.

  • Oil Investment Update: Crude Oil - Seeds of Change Growing

    May 9, 2016, 11:47 AM

    Although the world's largest oil exporters failed to reach an agreement in Doha to freeze output at January levels, the price of crude oil extended gains and hit a fresh 2016 high of $46.78 in less than two weeks after this negative event for oil. What were the main reasons for this rally? Will they continue to support the price or maybe there are new circumstances that encourage oil bears to action in the coming weeks? We invite you to check our Oil Investment Update. Have a nice read.

  • Oil Investment Update: Crude Oil for the Bulls or Bears?

    April 8, 2016, 11:47 AM

    In the previous month, the commodity extended gains and climbed above the barrier of $40. Despite this improvement, the combination of resistance levels encouraged oil bears to act, which resulted in erasing 40% of the previous upward move. What’s next for crude oil? Whether a potential freeze agreement between OPEC and non-OPEC members will push the commodity to fresh 2016 highs or rather lead to a further deterioration? Will the technical picture of the oil market give is more clues about future moves? We invite you to check our Oil Investment Update. Have a nice read.

  • Oil Investment Update: Crude Oil - Trend Reversal or Bigger Pullback?

    March 3, 2016, 6:26 PM

    In recent weeks, crude oil bounced off the multi-year low of $26.05 and closed the previous month above the 2009 low. Although this is a positive signal, which suggests further improvement, many oil investors are still wondering whether the final bottom is already in or maybe the recent rally is just the bigger upward correction. Will the oil-to-gold and other interesting ratios give us more clues about future crude oil’s moves?

  • Oil Investment Update: Crude Oil’s Final Bottom – Price Target

    February 5, 2016, 4:05 PM

    In the previous month crude oil declined sharply, breaking below the barrier of $30 and reaching levels not seen since Sep 2003. Despite this bearish event, the commodity rebounded sharply in the third decade of the last month, erasing around 60% of earlier declines. This week brought another downward move, which took the commodity under $32. What’s next?

  • Oil Investment Update: The Moment of Truth for Crude Oil

    January 7, 2016, 4:08 PM

    In Dec, crude oil verified earlier breakdown under the neck line of the short-term head and shoulders formation, which resulted in a sharp decline. As a result, the commodity lost 11% and closed 2015 slightly above $37. The beginning of 2016 brought further deterioration and crude oil approached the 2009 low. What’s next? Is it possible that our interesting ratios will give us valuable clues about future moves?

  • Oil Investment Update: Crude Oil Hits Fresh Lows

    December 8, 2015, 3:14 PM

    Looking at the current situation in crude oil, we clearly see that November was the worst month for the commodity since July. In this period of time, crude oil lost 10.15% and tested the barrier of $40. Although we saw a small rebound earlier this month, oil bears showed their claws once again after OPEC decision to maintain current production levels at around 31.5 million barrels per day and pushed the commodity to a fresh 2015 low of $37.50 yesterday. In this way, light crude lost 9.72%, making our gains on the short position even bigger. Will we see further deterioration in the coming weeks?

  • Oil Investment Update: Fundamental Factors Continue to Weigh

    November 5, 2015, 9:48 AM

    Although crude oil extended gains in the previous month, the barrier of $50 in combination with the 50% Fibonacci retracement and the 200-day moving average triggered a decline below the key support zone. Despite this negative signal, light crude reversed, invalidating earlier breakdown and climbed to the key resistance lines. Will they encourage oil bears to act in the coming month and we’ll finally see an acceleration of declines?

  • Oil Investment Update: Calm before the Storm

    October 1, 2015, 4:54 PM

    The overall situation in the oil market hasn’t changed much since our previous Oil Investment Update was posted. Looking at the charts from today’s point of view we can summarize Sep in one simple sentence: a prolonged consolidation between Jan lows and Aug high. What’s interesting, we saw a similar situation in May and June - after many weeks of waiting for a sizable move crude oil declined sharply and rewarded earlier disappointments. Will we see similar price action in the coming weeks?

  • Oil Investment Update: How Much Can a Sharp Rally Be Trusted?

    September 3, 2015, 3:05 PM

    In the last weeks of August crude oil accelerated declines, which resulted in a breakdown not only below the Mar low and the lower border of the declining trend channel, but also in a drop under the psychologically important barrier of $40. In this way, the commodity declined to its lowest level since Feb 2009, hitting a multi-year low of $37.75. Despite this deterioration, light crude reversed and rebounded sharply, invalidating earlier breakdowns and climbing to the 50-day moving average slightly below the barrier of $50. Can we expect lower prices in the following weeks or should we prepare for a major rally?

  • Oil Investment Update: Is The End Of Declines In The Oil Market Near?

    August 6, 2015, 2:44 PM

    Looking at the current situation in crude oil, we can say with conviction that July was the worst month for the commodity since the begining of the year. In this period of time, crude oil lost 20.85% (making our gains on the short position even bigger) and broke below the Apr low, closing last month at its lowest level since March. Although we saw a rebound after this big downward move, its size didn’t confirm oil bulls‘ strength, which resulted in another decline. On top of that, yesterday’s EIA report showed another drop in crude oil inventories (bullish fundamental factor), the commodity moved lower once again and hit a fresh multi-month low of $44.83. Does this show of weakness suggest lower values of the commodity?

  • Oil Investment Update: Acceleration of Declines and Its Consequences

    July 9, 2015, 5:00 AM

    The crude oil market has certainly made us wait to see the bearish scenario to play out, but when it did, it moved with vengeance. The price of black gold plunged and declined almost $10 this month and those holding short positions were handsomely rewarded. Of course, no market can move up or down in a straight line, so the fact that we saw a rebound after such a big decline is not surprising. Where will crude oil move next and how can one position themselves given the likely outcome?

  • Oil Investment Update: Similarities to June 2014

    June 8, 2015, 3:16 PM

    Looking at the crude oil’s charts from today’s point of view, we can summarize the recent month in one sentence: more of the same. Although oil bulls tried to push the commodity above the key resistance zone several times in the recent weeks, all tests have failed. Is it possible that the oil-to-gold, stocks-to-oil ratios and crude oil priced in "other currencies" give us more clues about future moves?

  • Oil Investment Update: Time for Reversal or Further Rally?

    May 7, 2015, 3:33 PM

    From today’s point of view, we can say with full conviction that April was the best month for oil bulls since June. In the previous month, crude oil erased almost 30% of the June-March declines and almost touched the barrier of $60 as the combination of a weaker greenback, the situation in the Middle East and further reductions in the number of oil rigs supported the price. Additionally, in the first days of the new month, light crude extended rally and climbed to a fresh 2015 high of $62.58. Are there any technical factors on the horizon that could drive the price higher or lower in the coming weeks? Will the oil-to-oil stocks, stocks-to-oil and gold-to-oil ratios give us more clues about future moves?

  • Oil Investment Update: When We See Sizable Rebound In Crude Oil?

    April 9, 2015, 3:46 PM

    In March, crude oil extended declines and hit a fresh 2015 low, but the commodity reversed and rebounded sharply in the following weeks, erasing over 80% of the preceding declines. The first days of April were also good for oil bulls as the commodity extended rally and broke above several resistance lines. Despite this improvement, the most important resistance level withstood the buying pressure and triggered a sharp decline yesterday. As a result, light crude lost 4.26% and invalidated earlier breakouts. Does it mean that crude oil’s rally over?

  • Oil Investment Update: Fundamental Factors Continued To Overshadow Technical Picture Of Crude Oil

    March 5, 2015, 4:25 PM

    The highlight of the previous month was the first monthly increase since June when crude oil began declines. The commodity gained 3.49% and bounced of the Apr 2009 lows once again, which encouraged oil bulls to act and translated to further rally in the recent days. As a result, light crude climbed above $51 and invalidated the breakdown under important short-term support line. Does it mean that the worst is behind us? Or maybe this is another pause before new lows?

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