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Oil Investment - Extensive Monthly Updates

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Are you interested in oil investment?Oil Investment Updates are extensive, monthly analytical reports that keep you updated on the medium- and long-term outlook for the crude oil market. Every first Tuesday of the month Nadia Simmons covers the key oil news and changes in fundamental tendencies and provides you with detailed technical analysis of crude oil, oil stocks along with related markets and ratios. Updates are accompanied by the analysis of scenarios that are likely to be seen in the following weeks along with their likelihood and suggested actions in each case and a simple summary and is accompanied with actionable trading ideas. Additionally, Investment Alerts will be sent whenever the medium- or long-term outlook changes between Updates. Essays based on investment updates are occasionally posted in our Articles section, so you can review these real-time samples before you subscribe.

  • Oil Investment Update: The Epic Decline and Its Implications

    January 8, 2015, 2:26 PM

    In Dec crude oil lost over 18% as ongoing expectations of growing supplies and concerns over the pace of global growth weighed on the price. As a result, the commodity dropped below the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement (around $65 per barrel), which accelerated declines and took light crude to the support zone created by the 76.4% and 78.6% Fibonacci retracement levels (based on the entire 2009-2011 rally). Unfortunately for oil bulls the beginning of the year brought a breakdown under these levels, which resulted in a drop to the next support area created by the Apr 2009 lows. Will we see a rebound from here? Or maybe this is another pause before new lows?

  • Oil Investment Update: How Low Is Too Low?

    December 4, 2014, 7:10 PM

    In Nov, crude oil broke not only below the psychologically important barrier of $80, but also under the 50% Fibonacci retracement based on the entire 2009-2011 rally, which accelerated declines and resulted in a multi-year low of $65.69. On top of that, the first day of Dec was also very negative for oil investors as the commodity extended losses to $63.72 and slipped below the solid support zone created by the Aug and Sep 2009 lows and the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level. The breakdown was invalidated almost immediately, but is it enough to trigger a trend reversal? Will the current picture of the USD Index and the gold-to-oil ratio give us more clues about future moves? If you want to know our take on these questions, we invite you to check out our Oil Investment Update. Have a nice read.

  • Oil Investment Update: Is The End Of Declines In The Oil Market Near?

    November 6, 2014, 4:52 PM

    Without a doubt, Oct was the worst month for oil bulls since May 2012. In the previous month, the commodity lost over 11% as the combination of a stronger greenback, rising supplies and weaker demand weighted on the price. Additionally, the first days of the new month have been very negative for oil investors. After the breakdown below the psychologically important barrier of $80, oil bears pushed the price lower and light crude hit a four-year low of $75.84, breaking under long-term support lines. In this way, the commodity posted its sixth weekly loss in a row. Will light crude drop any further in the nearest future? Is it possible that the stocks-to-oil ratio will give us some interesting clues? We invite you to check our Oil Investment Update. Have a nice read.

  • Oil Investment Update: The Return of Positive Correlation Between Crude Oil and Oil Stocks

    October 3, 2014, 4:23 PM

    The third quarter of the year is behind us. During the last three months, crude oil declined from the 2014 high of $107.68 to its lowest level since Apr 23, 2013. The commodity lost almost $20 in that period of time, but the previous month was not the worst for currency bulls. In September, light crude dropped by less than $5 and managed to hold above its low of $90.43 for almost three weeks, despite surging dollar. Yesterday, the situation has deteriorated significantly as crude oil declined sharply, hitting a fresh multi-month low of $88.18. As it turned out in the following hours, this deteriration was only very temporarily as the commodity almost immediately invalidated the breakdown not only below the recent lows, but also under the key support zone created by the long- term support line and the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level. At this point, some of you are probably wondering what does it mean for crude oil? If you want to know our take on this questions and find out what does the ratio between crude oil and the USD Index say about future moves, we invite you to check out our Oil Investment Update. Have a nice read.

  • Oil Investment Update: The Moment of Truth for Crude Oil Is Coming

    September 4, 2014, 3:25 PM

    From today’s point of view, we see that the situation in crude oil has deteriorated since our last Oil Investment Update was published. Although WTIC didn’t lose in August as much as in July (the commodity dropped by 1.85%), we saw a decline that took light crude to a fresh multi-month low of $92.50. With this downward move, crude oil declined below the long- term support line and the 200-week moving average, approaching the 2014 low of $91.24. This is the point where you’re probably wondering whether this support will withstand the selling pressure or not. Are there any technical factors on the horizon that could drive the price higher or lower in the coming days and weeks? Will the oil-stocks-to-oil, stocks-to-oil and gold-to-oil ratios give us more clues about future moves? If you want to know our take on these questions, we invite you to check out our Oil Investment Update. Have a nice read.

  • Oil Investment Update: Is It Time for Growth or Final Decline in Crude Oil?

    August 6, 2014, 2:16 PM

    Without a doubt, July was the worst month for crude oil since the beginning of the year. It spent months climbing slowly from the January low of $91.24 to the 2014 high of $107.68 and then the commodity gave up over 60% of earlier gains in just seven weeks. The latest round of selling triggered a sharp decline below the long- and medium-term support lines, the 200-day moving average and the psychological barrier of $100, which turned the medium- and the short-term outlook to bearish. In the recent days, crude oil reached a very important support zone created by the March low and the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement. Where the commodity will head next: north or south?

  • Oil Investment Update: Which Way Next for the Oil Market?

    July 4, 2014, 1:44 PM

    The end of the first half of the year, the second quarter and June are behind us. The confluence of these events has encouraged many analysts to summarize. Without a doubt, it was a quite good time for crude oil. Since the beginning of the year, light crude climbed from the Jan. low of $91.24 to a nine-month high of $107.68 in the previous month. Has the commodity started a long-term bull market? Or maybe we should be less optimistic and treat this improvement only as a bigger correction before the next downward move? What impact could it have on the oil stocks? If you want to know the answers to these questions, we invite you to read this month’s Oil Investment Update.

  • Oil Investment Update: Some Useful Charts And Thoughts About Future Oil Market Moves

    June 3, 2014, 5:05 PM

    May was another good month for oil bulls. During that time, crude oil gained 3.20%, came back above the long- and medium-term resistance lines and climbed to its highest level since mid-April, hitting a five-week high of $104.50. However, at the end of the month, light crude gave up some gains and declined below the resistance zone, which resulted in a verification of the breakdown and a drop below $103 per barrel. The first day of the new month was also positive for oil bears. Will light crude drop any further in the nearest future? Is it possible that the oil-stocks-to-oil ratio, crude oil priced in "other currencies" and the USO ETF charts will give us some interesting clues? What is the current technical picture for the oil market? We invite you to check our Oil Investment Update. Have a nice read.

  • Oil Investment Update: The Moment of Truth for the Oil Market Is Just Around the Corner

    May 7, 2014, 5:27 PM

    Looking at the current price level of crude oil, we can summarize the previous month in one simple sentence: return to the starting point. The beginning of April was very promising. At that time, oil bulls started their charge using technical and fundamental factors, which resulted in a 2-week rally and a 6-week high of $104.99. Despite this improvement, they lost their steam in the second half of the month, which fueled a selling pressure and triggered declines. As a result, the commodity dropped below the key level of $100 and we noticed significant technical changes in the short-term picture of light crude. Did they also affect the medium-term outlook? What’s next? Are there any fundamental factors that could drive the price of crude oil higher in the near future? Is the final bottom of the recent corrective move already in or not? If you want to know our take on these questions, we invite you to check out our Oil Investment Update. Have a nice read.

  • Oil Investment Update: Will Crude Oil Drop Any Further?

    April 3, 2014, 1:49 PM

    From today’s point of view, we see that the situation in crude oil hasn’t changed much since our last Oil Investment Update was published. Although light crude declined in the first half of March and hit a monthly low of $97.37, the commodity reversed and erased 61.8% of earlier losses in the second half of the month. Despite this improvement, April started very badly for oil bulls. Crude oil has lost 2.25% since the beginning of this month and dropped below important supports. What is the current technical picture for the oil market? Can oil climb higher in the nearest future? Would this result in higher levels of the oil index? If you want to know our take on these questions, we invite you to check out our Oil Investment Update. Have a nice read.

  • Crude Oil and Oil Stocks – The Medium-Term Perspective

    March 6, 2014, 1:20 PM

    February was another good month for oil bulls. During that time, crude oil gained 5.44%, broke above the long-, medium and short-term resistance levels and climbed to its highest level since September, hitting a fresh 2014 high of $105.22. However, at the beginning of March, light crude gave up the gains and declined sharply, which resulted in a drop below $100 per barrel. Will light crude drop any further in the nearest future? Is it possible that the oil-stocks-to-oil ratio will give us some interesting clues? What is the current technical picture for the oil market? We invite you to check our Oil Investment Update. Have a nice read.

  • Oil Investment Update: Crude Oil and Oil Stocks - The Medium-Term Perspective

    February 4, 2014, 12:01 PM

    From today’s point of view, we clearly see that the beginning of the year was hard for oil bulls. In the first week of January, crude oil extended losses and hit a fresh seven-month low of $91.24. Despite this drop, the situation improved in the coming weeks as light crude invalidated an important breakdown and erased almost 38.2% of the entire Aug.-Nov. decline once again (and more than 75% of the Dec.-Jan. decline). Thanks to this upward move, crude oil closed the month above $97 per barrel. What’s next? Will we see another attempt to move above $100? What happened at the same time with oil stocks? Is it possible that the oil-to-oil-stocks ratio will give us some interesting clues? If you want to know our take on these questions, we invite you to check out our Oil Investment Update. Have a nice read.

  • Oil Investment Update: Crude Oil and Oil Stocks – The Medium-Term Perspective

    January 8, 2014, 12:04 PM

    The recent month was good for oil bulls. After three consecutive months of losses, light crude rebounded and erased 38.2% of the entire Aug.-Nov. decline. With this upward move, crude oil also broke above the psychological barrier of $100. Nevertheless, this improvement didn’t last long. At the end of December, oil investors took profits, which started the current decline. Did this drop change the outlook for crude oil? What’s next? Can light crude climb higher in the near term? Is it possible that the non-USD (WTIC:UDN ratio) chart of crude oil will give us some interesting clues? If you want to know our take on these questions, we invite you to check out our Oil Investment Update. Have a nice read.

  • Oil Investment Update: Crude Oil and Oil Stocks – The Medium-Term Perspective

    December 17, 2013, 12:17 PM

    Looking at the chart of crude oil from today’s point of view, we can say that the situation didn’t change much in the previous week. After a sharp rally that we saw at the beginning of the month and an invalidation of breakdowns below the long- and medium-term lines, crude oil gave up the gains and declined below $97. Despite this drop, the current corrective move is still shallow and it hasn’t even reached the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level based on the recent rally, which suggests that another upswing may be just around the corner. Currently, oil investors are focusing on this week’s Federal Reserve meeting and news on the central bank’s bond-buying program. Will the oil market be very sensitive to what happens after that event? Will the Fed decision trigger a further rally or a decline? Before know the answers to these questions, we invite you to check out our Oil Investment Update and find out what the current outlook for the oil market is. Have a nice read.

  • Oil Investment Update: The Oil Market - Current Outlook

    December 10, 2013, 1:05 PM

    The first days of the new month have been very positive for oil bulls. After the breakout above the lower border of the declining trend channel in terms of intraday lows, buyers pushed the price higher and broke above another short-term resistance line. This event resulted in a sharp rally, which took light crude above $98. On top of that, crude oil broke above the upper border of the declining trend channel in terms of intraday highs and above the 50-day moving average. In this way, after seven weeks of losses, crude oil posted its second weekly gain in nine weeks. Does this growth change the outlook for crude oil? What’s next? Can light crude climb higher in the near term? Is it possible that the oil-to-gold ratio will give us some interesting clues? If you want to know our take on these questions, we invite you to check out our Oil Investment Update. Have a nice read.

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