- September 19, 2012, 11:23 AM
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- May 16, 2012, 6:24 PM
Free Trading Alerts and Essays
Below you will find some of our daily Trading Alerts and essays based on other premium services. The markets that we cover include:, , , , and . If you'd like to be notified about new articles, please .
November 20, 2013, 10:02 AM
Without a doubt, the most important event this week will be the release of Fed’s minutes today. Investors will look closely at the minutes for clues as to when the central bank will cut its monthly asset purchase program in response to economic growth. Will Fed surprise the markets once again? What’s next? Will silver be very sensitive to what happens after that event? Will the minutes trigger a rally or a further decline? Before we know the answers to these questions, we invite you to read today's essay.
November 20, 2013, 4:17 AM
Although light crude moved lower once again and reached a new monthly low of $92.51 in the previous week, oil stocks didn’t follow this decline. They bounced off the bottom of the recent corrective move, pulled back and approached the 2013 high on Friday. In spite of Monday’s decline in light crude, the oil stock index climbed up once again and hit a fresh annual high. What’s next? Can the XOI climb higher in the near term? What is the current technical picture of oil stocks? If you want to know our take on these questions, we invite you to read our today's essay.
November 18, 2013, 11:12 AM
In predicting the inflation rate, labor markets and GDP growth, Yellen has overshadowed the others. But what has been discussed recently is her statement back from 2005, when the real estate bubble was at its highest. Her reasonable observation was: there was a bubble.
November 15, 2013, 7:45 AM
In our most recent article on gold, USD and Euro Indices we wrote that the outlook for the yellow metal was bearish just as the outlook for the Euro Index and just as it was bullish for the USD Index. At this time – since all of the above-mentioned markets moved in the opposite way – you might be wondering if we are sticking to the above analysis. In the medium-term, we do, but not in the short run. In fact, earlier this week we told our subscribers to cash in the profits from the short positions as the bullish correction was quite likely to be seen. So, have metals bottomed?
November 14, 2013, 8:57 AM
In today’s essay we decided to examine one of the most interesting relationships present on the crude oil market – the one between oil stocks and other stocks. After all, oil stocks’ weakness relative to other stocks might indicate weakness in the entire oil sector. Can divergences tell us something about the future price moves in the crude oil sector? It turns out that this might be the case. You will find details in today’s essay.
November 12, 2013, 12:12 PM
The yellow metal has been trading below $1,300 since Friday and has fallen about 3% in the last four sessions as data on strong U.S. economic and jobs growth boosted speculation that the Federal Reserve will move to reduce its bond purchases and remove a long-running source of support from the gold market. Taking the above into account, investors are probably wondering whether the final bottom of the recent corrective move is already in or not. Will gold drop any further? Will it test the strength of the October low in the coming days? Is it possible that the dollar and euro will give us some interesting clues? If you want to know our take on these questions, we invite you to read our today's essay.
November 11, 2013, 8:47 AM
Without a doubt, the biggest news in recent weeks has been the upcoming replacement of Fed Chairman Ben Bernanke by Janet Yellen, Vice Chair of the Board of Governors and a highly qualified economist who, many predict will continue in the Bernanke mold. Bernanke’s story is actually quite fascinating, and can teach us how to approach future Fed nominations.
November 8, 2013, 11:04 AM
In our Wednesday’s free essay we discussed the situation in the Euro Index and mining stocks. We wrote that the long-term downtrend in the Euro Index remains in place and that the short-term uptrend might already be over. We emphasized that, based on the precious metals’ correlations with the currency markets, the implications of the bearish outlook for the Euro Index are also bearish for gold, silver and mining stocks.
This was further confirmed by the analysis of the miners themselves (not only had the HUI Index reached its declining medium-term resistance line, but the same had been the case with the gold-stocks-to-gold ratio). In today’s article, we will further elaborate on the mining stock sector and discuss whether this week’s consolidation is really a sign of strength.
November 7, 2013, 8:22 AM
As we wrote in our previous essay, the first days of the new month have been hard for oil bulls. Since the beginning of November crude oil has lost over 2.6% and dropped to $93 per barrel. However, after six consecutive lower closes light crude rebounded and came back to around $95 per barrel. Is it possible that the final bottom in crude is already in? If you want to know our take on this question, we invite you to read our today's essay.
November 6, 2013, 1:20 PM
In our previous essay we focused on the most interesting asset and checked what we can expect to see on the gold market. Since then the yellow metal dropped below $1,340 and almost reached an important support level at $1,300. Gold has lost about 3% since Oct. 28 and has logged its longest losing run since mid-May when it dropped 8% in seven days. Additionally, we also saw drops in case of silver and mining stocks. Today, we will examine the Euro Index and the HUI Index (along with its performance relative to gold) to see if there's anything on the horizon that could drive the precious metals market higher or lower. Have a nice read.
November 5, 2013, 1:21 PM
In the previous week, the selloff in crude oil has been fueled by rising U.S. stockpiles, which have climbed roughly 8% over the past six weeks. Total inventories now stand at 383.9 million barrels and government data this week could show that stockpiles finished October at their highest level since 1930. This week, light crude extended losses as ongoing concerns over rising U.S. inventories and weaker demand in the world's largest oil consumer drove prices lower. In this way, the price dropped to a new four-month low. Where is the final bottom of the current correction? Is it possible that the light-crude-to-oil-stock-index ratio will give us some interesting clues? If you want to know our take on these questions, we invite you to read our today's essay.
November 4, 2013, 9:20 AM
We've recently read a very interesting essay on gold, VIX (the volatility index) and the safe haven status entitled "Forget gold, the VIX is the new safe haven" and we would like to share our thoughts about it in today's commentary.
October 31, 2013, 10:43 AM
In our previous essay we took a closer look at the situation in silver and mining stocks (precisely: SLV and GDX ETFs) and discussed how it may translate into the precious metals market. Today, we focus on the most interesting asset and check what we can expect in the gold market in the near future. Does it confirm the indications for silver and mining stocks? If you want to know our take on this question, we invite you to read our today's essay.
October 30, 2013, 12:11 PM
In the previous week, the price of crude oil not only dropped below the psychological barrier of $100, but also reached a new four-month low of $95.95. On the other hand, the buyers managed to push light crude higher at the end of the last week. Earlier this week we saw further improvement and the price climbed to almost $99 per barrel. Taking the above circumstances into account, investors are probably wondering about the impact on oil stocks. How does the relationship between crude oil and the oil stock index look like at the moment? Can oil stocks move higher in the near future? If you want to know our take on these questions, we invite you to read our today's essay.
October 29, 2013, 2:10 PM
In our previous commentary we discussed the implications that the most recent moves in the USD Index and the general stock market are likely to have on the precious metals market. Today, we will briefly discuss two parts of the PM market: silver and mining stocks and explain whether or not the recent rally has run out of steam.
October 28, 2013, 11:06 AM
Big twists in the market pricing behavior because of the Fed's meeting on the 18th seem like an exaggeration, even ludicrous. We do not see huge fundamental changes in the economy to justify those mood swings.
October 25, 2013, 11:40 AM
The combination of recent economic data and the 16-day U.S. government shutdown has suggested that the Fed may keep its bond purchase in place for longer. These circumstances fueled gold's appeal as a hedge against inflation and resulted in a rally. In less than two weeks, the yellow metal has gained 8% (nearly $100 an ounce) and reached its highest level since Sept. 20. Looking at the chart of gold from today’s point of view, it seems that the shiny metal will end higher for a second straight week. Will it keep rallying? Or maybe further gains will be difficult to achieve in the near term? Is it possible that the dollar and stocks will give us some interesting clues? If you want to know our take on these questions, we invite you to read our today's essay.
October 22, 2013, 9:18 AM
The recent months have been tough for the U.S. currency. Since July the greenback has lost 6% and dropped below the 80 level. At the beginning of the month, crude oil prices were supported by a weaker U.S. dollar as commodities priced in the dollar became less expensive for holders of other currencies. Did this relationship remain in place in the following days? Has a weaker U.S. dollar always been so bullish for crude oil? What could happen with light crude if we see a rebound in the greenback? If you want to know our take on these questions, we invite you to read our today's essay.
October 22, 2013, 6:33 AM
In our previous article we have seen how Federal Reserve’s balance sheet grew in the last few years. Now let us look how this growth coincided with increases on the stock market and what it means for gold.
October 18, 2013, 10:40 AM
Yestarday, the S&P 500 closed at a new high and its intraday record of 1733.45 broke the all-time high set Sept. 19. Taking into account the fact that there are no technical resistance levels at the moment, it seems that stocks could continue their rally in the coming weeks or even months. How may the current situation in the general stock market translate into the precious metals market? If you want to know our take on this question, we invite you to read our today's essay.
October 16, 2013, 12:16 PM
Oil investors are focusing now mostly on news out of Washington, because it could have the greatest impact on crude prices this week. During the last session we saw this very clearly. Light crude fell throughout the session as hopes for a deal to end the U.S. debt crisis steadily diminished and oil finally closed at its lowest level since the beginning of July.
Did the recent price moves in crude oil have any impact on the oil index? How does the relationship between light crude and the oil stocks look like? If you want to know our take on these questions, we invite you to read our today's essay.
October 15, 2013, 11:56 AM
On Monday, the S&P 500 Index dropped below 1,700, however, early in the afternoon the index reversed course and climbed to an intraday high of 1,711. Yesterday, the S&P 500 rose for a fourth day and closed at the highest level since September 19. It's worth noting that the index is within 16 points of its September 18 record of 1,725.52. Does this mean that investor sentiment is improving? Could we see further growth in stocks? Will the market players be more likely to sell precious metals? What impact could it have on gold? If you want to know our take on these questions, we invite you to read our today's essay.
October 14, 2013, 12:56 PM
The previous week was quite hard for the oil bulls. Light crude lost almost 2% and slipped to its lowest level since July 3. Since the beginning of the month crude oil remains in the narrow range between $100 and $104 per barrel. Will we see a breakthrough in the following days? Where are the nearest support zones and resistance levels? Are there any technical factors that may have an impact on crude oil? If you want to know our take on these questions, we invite you to read our today's essay.
October 14, 2013, 9:20 AM
We all heard about various “bailouts” or the financial wizardry that the American government used after the 2008 crisis. In a two pronged play the government spent public money while at the same time it introduced the “quantitative easing” program, which resulted in huge money printing and increases to the “narrowly defined money supply.” As mentioned in the last reports, even though it was inflationary it was not very, very inflationary-- at least not yet.
Lots and lots of new money was created, huge mountains of the stuff. The biggest question is what happened to this money and how did this affect the stocks and bonds? So besides the quantitative aspect there is also the qualitative aspect – what has happened to the money? Where did it go? How would the Fed’s activity to step back affect the markets? Finally - how is gold likely to react to the above in the long run?
The above is a small excerpt from our latest Market Overview report. The full version includes much more in-depth analysis of this and other fundamental factors that are likely to affect the gold market in the near future. You can.
October 11, 2013, 11:37 AM
Since the U.S. shutdown began last week gold has been trading in a tight range between $1,277 and $1,330 per ounce. Yesterday, President Barack Obama agreed to consider a proposal from Republican lawmakers to avert a historic debt default. What impact did these circumstances have on the yellow metal? Gold fell and touched a one and a half week low of $1,282. What could happen if the yellow metal closes today below this level? Will an increase in the debt ceiling end the decline in the gold market? What is the current situation in gold? If you want to know our take on these questions, we invite you to read our today's essay.
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