- September 19, 2012, 11:23 AM
- August 31, 2012, 11:00 AM
- May 16, 2012, 6:24 PM
Gold Articles & Silver Articles: Free Lightweight Version of our Market Outlook (based on Premium Updates)
If you'd like to be notified about new articles, please sign up for our.
October 29, 2013, 2:10 PM
In our previous commentary we discussed the implications that the most recent moves in the USD Index and the general stock market are likely to have on the precious metals market. Today, we will briefly discuss two parts of the PM market: silver and mining stocks and explain whether or not the recent rally has run out of steam.
October 28, 2013, 11:06 AM
Big twists in the market pricing behavior because of the Fed's meeting on the 18th seem like an exaggeration, even ludicrous. We do not see huge fundamental changes in the economy to justify those mood swings.
October 25, 2013, 11:40 AM
The combination of recent economic data and the 16-day U.S. government shutdown has suggested that the Fed may keep its bond purchase in place for longer. These circumstances fueled gold's appeal as a hedge against inflation and resulted in a rally. In less than two weeks, the yellow metal has gained 8% (nearly $100 an ounce) and reached its highest level since Sept. 20. Looking at the chart of gold from today’s point of view, it seems that the shiny metal will end higher for a second straight week. Will it keep rallying? Or maybe further gains will be difficult to achieve in the near term? Is it possible that the dollar and stocks will give us some interesting clues? If you want to know our take on these questions, we invite you to read our today's essay.
October 22, 2013, 9:18 AM
The recent months have been tough for the U.S. currency. Since July the greenback has lost 6% and dropped below the 80 level. At the beginning of the month, crude oil prices were supported by a weaker U.S. dollar as commodities priced in the dollar became less expensive for holders of other currencies. Did this relationship remain in place in the following days? Has a weaker U.S. dollar always been so bullish for crude oil? What could happen with light crude if we see a rebound in the greenback? If you want to know our take on these questions, we invite you to read our today's essay.
October 22, 2013, 6:33 AM
In our previous article we have seen how Federal Reserve’s balance sheet grew in the last few years. Now let us look how this growth coincided with increases on the stock market and what it means for gold.
October 18, 2013, 10:40 AM
Yestarday, the S&P 500 closed at a new high and its intraday record of 1733.45 broke the all-time high set Sept. 19. Taking into account the fact that there are no technical resistance levels at the moment, it seems that stocks could continue their rally in the coming weeks or even months. How may the current situation in the general stock market translate into the precious metals market? If you want to know our take on this question, we invite you to read our today's essay.
October 16, 2013, 12:16 PM
Oil investors are focusing now mostly on news out of Washington, because it could have the greatest impact on crude prices this week. During the last session we saw this very clearly. Light crude fell throughout the session as hopes for a deal to end the U.S. debt crisis steadily diminished and oil finally closed at its lowest level since the beginning of July.
Did the recent price moves in crude oil have any impact on the oil index? How does the relationship between light crude and the oil stocks look like? If you want to know our take on these questions, we invite you to read our today's essay.
October 15, 2013, 11:56 AM
On Monday, the S&P 500 Index dropped below 1,700, however, early in the afternoon the index reversed course and climbed to an intraday high of 1,711. Yesterday, the S&P 500 rose for a fourth day and closed at the highest level since September 19. It's worth noting that the index is within 16 points of its September 18 record of 1,725.52. Does this mean that investor sentiment is improving? Could we see further growth in stocks? Will the market players be more likely to sell precious metals? What impact could it have on gold? If you want to know our take on these questions, we invite you to read our today's essay.
October 14, 2013, 12:56 PM
The previous week was quite hard for the oil bulls. Light crude lost almost 2% and slipped to its lowest level since July 3. Since the beginning of the month crude oil remains in the narrow range between $100 and $104 per barrel. Will we see a breakthrough in the following days? Where are the nearest support zones and resistance levels? Are there any technical factors that may have an impact on crude oil? If you want to know our take on these questions, we invite you to read our today's essay.
October 14, 2013, 9:20 AM
We all heard about various “bailouts” or the financial wizardry that the American government used after the 2008 crisis. In a two pronged play the government spent public money while at the same time it introduced the “quantitative easing” program, which resulted in huge money printing and increases to the “narrowly defined money supply.” As mentioned in the last reports, even though it was inflationary it was not very, very inflationary-- at least not yet.
Lots and lots of new money was created, huge mountains of the stuff. The biggest question is what happened to this money and how did this affect the stocks and bonds? So besides the quantitative aspect there is also the qualitative aspect – what has happened to the money? Where did it go? How would the Fed’s activity to step back affect the markets? Finally - how is gold likely to react to the above in the long run?
The above is a small excerpt from our latest Market Overview report. The full version includes much more in-depth analysis of this and other fundamental factors that are likely to affect the gold market in the near future. You can.
October 11, 2013, 11:37 AM
Since the U.S. shutdown began last week gold has been trading in a tight range between $1,277 and $1,330 per ounce. Yesterday, President Barack Obama agreed to consider a proposal from Republican lawmakers to avert a historic debt default. What impact did these circumstances have on the yellow metal? Gold fell and touched a one and a half week low of $1,282. What could happen if the yellow metal closes today below this level? Will an increase in the debt ceiling end the decline in the gold market? What is the current situation in gold? If you want to know our take on these questions, we invite you to read our today's essay.
October 9, 2013, 9:25 AM
The first week of a new month and a new quarter was quite good for oil bulls. Although we saw a drop below the August low and the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level, light crude gained 0.87% in the previous week and closed higher for a first time in four weeks. At the same time oil stocks closed lower for a first time in five weeks. Does it mean that they became weaker in relation to crude oil? How does the relationship between light crude and the oil stocks look like? If you want to know our take on these questions, we invite you to read our today's essay.
October 8, 2013, 11:43 AM
The recent week was tough for the U.S. currency. Investors avoided the dollar as uncertainty over the U.S. government shutdown and the upcoming debate on the debt ceiling weighed on sentiment. These circumstances resulted in declines and the dollar dropped to a new eight-month low in the previous week. What’s interesting, at the same time we didn’t notice a sharp increase in gold. Does it mean that the yellow metal stopped responding to the U.S. dollar price moves? What’s next? Can gold climb higher in the near term once again? If you want to know our take on these questions, we invite you to read our today's essay.
October 7, 2013, 12:13 PM
One of the main events of recent days was the first U.S. government shutdown in 17 years. In the previous week, light crude dropped to a new September’s low at $101.05 and gold declined below $1,300 an ounce. Despite this declines, both commodities rebounded sharply in the middle of the previous week supported by a weaker U.S. dollar. Additionally, we saw similar price action in both cases in the following days. Will crude oil lead gold higher once again? What could happen if the recent positive divergences between both commodities remain in place? If you want to know our take on these questions, we invite you to read our today's essay.
October 3, 2013, 11:21 AM
Yesterday, silver gained almost 2.7% and reached $22. The white metal was supported by a weaker dollar and U.S. economic data, which raised hopes the Federal Reserve would stick to its stimulus for longer. Does this growth change the outlook for silver? What’s next? Can the white metal climb higher in the near term? Are there any technical factors that could have an impact on future silver prices? If you want to know our take on these questions, we invite you to read our today's essay.
October 2, 2013, 1:54 PM
What is the dollar system, how it's performing, what does it have to do with money creation and how are the above likely to impact gold going forward - you can read this and more in today's free essay.
October 1, 2013, 11:25 AM
After three quarters of declines prompted by fears over U.S. stimulus tapering, gold posted a near 8% gain for the September quarter. Yesterday, the yellow metal gained on safe-haven bids surrounding the U.S. government shutdown and reached $1,347. Will gold break out of its $1,300 to $1,350 range? Or maybe we’ll see a breakdown below $1,300? What kind of impact can mining stocks have on gold’s future price? If you want to know the answers to these questions, we invite you to read today's essay.
September 30, 2013, 1:18 PM
Earlier this month, the oil index climbed above the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level (based on the entire July-August decline) and the declining line based on the May and July highs (currently close to the 1,404 level). Additionally, the oil stocks broke above the July high. Does it sound bullish? What is the current technical picture for the oil stocks? Can the oil index climb higher in the nearest future once again? How does the relationship between light crude and the oil stocks look like? Could lower prices of crude oil have any implications for the oil stocks? If you want to know our take on these questions, we invite you to read our today's essay.
September 27, 2013, 11:12 AM
The Federal Reserve surprised markets over a week ago, but some officials fueled uncertainty after they said that the U.S. central bank could still begin tapering later this year. Additionally, yesterday‘s mixed economic data gave conflicting signals on the health of the economy. In such circumstances gold lost almost 0.7% and dropped below $1,330 an ounce. What did happen with the dollar? What’s the current outlook for the USD Index? What impact could it have on gold? If you want to know our take on these questions, we invite you to read our today's essay.
September 25, 2013, 12:17 PM
Gold has declined since we posted our previous essay with the bearish medium-term outlook, so the medium-term downtrend definitely remains in place. In today’s free commentary we will focus on other parts of the precious metals sector: silver and palladium. After all, it is usually the case that the most important price moves are seen simultanously in all precious metals, so by comparing different metals‘ performance we could spot some confirmations or invalidations of the above.
September 24, 2013, 4:12 PM
Short-term consolidation following last week’s volatility. S&P 500 near 1,700 mark.
September 24, 2013, 2:22 PM
Uncertainty as indexes fluctuate following recent sell-off. Will the correction stop?
September 24, 2013, 12:10 PM
Last week, we had a real rollercoaster triggered by the Fed’s unexpected decision to continue buying bonds. After sharp increases, which resulted in an over 4% gain in gold and 2% in crude oil, investors realized that this euphoric rally was fueled by a weaker economic outlook from the Fed. These circumstances resulted in a quick profit-taking during the last two sessions of the week. In this way, light crude has declined sharply and reached a new week low. What’s interesting, at the same time gold gave back only 60% of the previous sessions’ gains. Did the recent drop change the outlook for these commodities? Has the link between crude oil and gold changed in the recent days? If you want to know our take on these questions, we invite you to read our today's essay.
September 24, 2013, 10:22 AM
Indexes continue to fall as S&P 500 trades below 1,700. Investors react to some worse-than-expected economic releases.
September 24, 2013, 6:40 AM
Uptrend reversal or just a correction? Short-term uncertainty as investors await Consumer Confidence report
Info Weighing A Ton
but costing none.
Dive right in to deep market analysis without paying a dime for a week. Subscribe to free newsletter: